Henry Cuellar holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Texas's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Trump's December 2025 pardon resolved the prior federal bribery case, enabling Cuellar to retain key committee influence and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to shift ratings from toss-up to Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic even after mid-decade redistricting made the seat more Republican-leaning on presidential voting. An August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showed Cuellar ahead 45-34 percent among likely voters, reflecting his established local name recognition and crossover appeal in South Texas counties. Republican challenger Tano Tijerina, a former Democrat and Webb County judge emphasizing border security and infrastructure, has raised substantial funds and gained visibility but trails in recent surveys amid shifting Latino voter sentiment toward Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
亨利·奎利亚尔（民主党）
79%
塔诺·蒂赫里纳（共和党）
18%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
亨利·奎利亚尔（民主党）
$4,189 交易量
79%
塔诺·蒂赫里纳（共和党）
$5,496 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Texas's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Trump's December 2025 pardon resolved the prior federal bribery case, enabling Cuellar to retain key committee influence and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to shift ratings from toss-up to Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic even after mid-decade redistricting made the seat more Republican-leaning on presidential voting. An August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showed Cuellar ahead 45-34 percent among likely voters, reflecting his established local name recognition and crossover appeal in South Texas counties. Republican challenger Tano Tijerina, a former Democrat and Webb County judge emphasizing border security and infrastructure, has raised substantial funds and gained visibility but trails in recent surveys amid shifting Latino voter sentiment toward Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$9,684结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Texas's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Trump's December 2025 pardon resolved the prior federal bribery case, enabling Cuellar to retain key committee influence and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to shift ratings from toss-up to Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic even after mid-decade redistricting made the seat more Republican-leaning on presidential voting. An August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showed Cuellar ahead 45-34 percent among likely voters, reflecting his established local name recognition and crossover appeal in South Texas counties. Republican challenger Tano Tijerina, a former Democrat and Webb County judge emphasizing border security and infrastructure, has raised substantial funds and gained visibility but trails in recent surveys amid shifting Latino voter sentiment toward Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,684结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETHenry Cuellar holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Texas's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Trump's December 2025 pardon resolved the prior federal bribery case, enabling Cuellar to retain key committee influence and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to shift ratings from toss-up to Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic even after mid-decade redistricting made the seat more Republican-leaning on presidential voting. An August 2026 Texas Southern University poll showed Cuellar ahead 45-34 percent among likely voters, reflecting his established local name recognition and crossover appeal in South Texas counties. Republican challenger Tano Tijerina, a former Democrat and Webb County judge emphasizing border security and infrastructure, has raised substantial funds and gained visibility but trails in recent surveys amid shifting Latino voter sentiment toward Democrats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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