Dan Patrick holds a strong 76.5% implied probability as the Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term in the November 3, 2026, Texas lieutenant governor election, reflecting Texas's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests and his decisive primary win. Vikki Goodwin trails at 16% after securing the Democratic nomination in the May runoff, with limited crossover appeal in a state where no Democrat has won a statewide office in nearly three decades. Other candidates, including minor-party options, register around 50% amid low visibility. Recent August polling from sources like the University of Texas and Texas A&M shows Patrick leading or competitive with Goodwin, underscoring structural partisan leanings and incumbency advantages that shape trader consensus on the race outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
丹·帕特里克（共和党）
77%
Vikki Goodwin（民主党）
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
丹·帕特里克（共和党）
$205 交易量
77%
Vikki Goodwin（民主党）
$177 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Dan Patrick holds a strong 76.5% implied probability as the Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term in the November 3, 2026, Texas lieutenant governor election, reflecting Texas's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests and his decisive primary win. Vikki Goodwin trails at 16% after securing the Democratic nomination in the May runoff, with limited crossover appeal in a state where no Democrat has won a statewide office in nearly three decades. Other candidates, including minor-party options, register around 50% amid low visibility. Recent August polling from sources like the University of Texas and Texas A&M shows Patrick leading or competitive with Goodwin, underscoring structural partisan leanings and incumbency advantages that shape trader consensus on the race outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
交易量
$382结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Dan Patrick holds a strong 76.5% implied probability as the Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term in the November 3, 2026, Texas lieutenant governor election, reflecting Texas's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests and his decisive primary win. Vikki Goodwin trails at 16% after securing the Democratic nomination in the May runoff, with limited crossover appeal in a state where no Democrat has won a statewide office in nearly three decades. Other candidates, including minor-party options, register around 50% amid low visibility. Recent August polling from sources like the University of Texas and Texas A&M shows Patrick leading or competitive with Goodwin, underscoring structural partisan leanings and incumbency advantages that shape trader consensus on the race outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$382结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETDan Patrick holds a strong 76.5% implied probability as the Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term in the November 3, 2026, Texas lieutenant governor election, reflecting Texas's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests and his decisive primary win. Vikki Goodwin trails at 16% after securing the Democratic nomination in the May runoff, with limited crossover appeal in a state where no Democrat has won a statewide office in nearly three decades. Other candidates, including minor-party options, register around 50% amid low visibility. Recent August polling from sources like the University of Texas and Texas A&M shows Patrick leading or competitive with Goodwin, underscoring structural partisan leanings and incumbency advantages that shape trader consensus on the race outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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