Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the May 2026 primary, reinforcing his position in a state with a strong Republican lean. Independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader and 2024 candidate, has consolidated support after Democrat Cindy Burbank won her primary and signaled plans to withdraw in his favor, creating a head-to-head matchup. Recent polls show Ricketts leading Osborn by single digits or in a tighter race depending on the survey, which aligns with the market's trader consensus placing the Republican outcome ahead but the Independent option as a viable challenger. The Democratic share remains minimal given the strategic withdrawal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 59%
无党派 39%
民主党 2.6%
$134,759 交易量
$134,759 交易量

共和党
59%

无党派
39%

民主党
3%
共和党 59%
无党派 39%
民主党 2.6%
$134,759 交易量
$134,759 交易量

共和党
59%

无党派
39%

民主党
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination with over 80% in the May 2026 primary, reinforcing his position in a state with a strong Republican lean. Independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader and 2024 candidate, has consolidated support after Democrat Cindy Burbank won her primary and signaled plans to withdraw in his favor, creating a head-to-head matchup. Recent polls show Ricketts leading Osborn by single digits or in a tighter race depending on the survey, which aligns with the market's trader consensus placing the Republican outcome ahead but the Independent option as a viable challenger. The Democratic share remains minimal given the strategic withdrawal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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