Republican nominee Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana Senate race, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and recent polling averages showing him ahead by double digits in a multi-candidate field. The open seat, previously held by retiring Republican Steve Daines, saw Alme secure a strong primary victory and benefit from unified party support following Daines's endorsement. Vote fragmentation between Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar has limited opposition consolidation, with surveys indicating each draws from overlapping progressive and independent blocs. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican. A withdrawal by one of the non-Republican candidates or late shifts in turnout among independents could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to structural barriers for challengers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 92%
无党派人士 8.3%
民主党 <1%
$117,843 交易量
$117,843 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
92%
无党派人士
8%
民主党
1%
共和党 92%
无党派人士 8.3%
民主党 <1%
$117,843 交易量
$117,843 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$59,550 交易量
92%
无党派人士
$17,862 交易量
8%
民主党
$40,432 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana Senate race, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and recent polling averages showing him ahead by double digits in a multi-candidate field. The open seat, previously held by retiring Republican Steve Daines, saw Alme secure a strong primary victory and benefit from unified party support following Daines's endorsement. Vote fragmentation between Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar has limited opposition consolidation, with surveys indicating each draws from overlapping progressive and independent blocs. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican. A withdrawal by one of the non-Republican candidates or late shifts in turnout among independents could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to structural barriers for challengers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$117,843结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana Senate race, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and recent polling averages showing him ahead by double digits in a multi-candidate field. The open seat, previously held by retiring Republican Steve Daines, saw Alme secure a strong primary victory and benefit from unified party support following Daines's endorsement. Vote fragmentation between Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar has limited opposition consolidation, with surveys indicating each draws from overlapping progressive and independent blocs. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican. A withdrawal by one of the non-Republican candidates or late shifts in turnout among independents could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to structural barriers for challengers.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$117,843结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRepublican nominee Kurt Alme maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Montana Senate race, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and recent polling averages showing him ahead by double digits in a multi-candidate field. The open seat, previously held by retiring Republican Steve Daines, saw Alme secure a strong primary victory and benefit from unified party support following Daines's endorsement. Vote fragmentation between Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar has limited opposition consolidation, with surveys indicating each draws from overlapping progressive and independent blocs. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican. A withdrawal by one of the non-Republican candidates or late shifts in turnout among independents could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to structural barriers for challengers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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