**James Talarico holds an implied 78% probability of winning Collin County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, well ahead of Ken Paxton at 16.5%.** Recent statewide polling averages show the contest as a toss-up or slight Talarico edge, with the Democrat leading or tied in multiple August surveys amid strong independent and suburban support. Talarico defeated Jasmine Crockett in the Democratic primary and has outraised Paxton significantly, while Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with late Trump backing. Collin County’s suburban demographics—marked by growth, higher education levels, and independent voters—align with areas where recent data indicate Talarico performs competitively, reflecting broader shifts in Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs. Forecasters rate the overall race a toss-up or lean Republican, with November 3 resolution depending on turnout and late spending.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
78%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$20 交易量
78%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$43 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.**James Talarico holds an implied 78% probability of winning Collin County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, well ahead of Ken Paxton at 16.5%.** Recent statewide polling averages show the contest as a toss-up or slight Talarico edge, with the Democrat leading or tied in multiple August surveys amid strong independent and suburban support. Talarico defeated Jasmine Crockett in the Democratic primary and has outraised Paxton significantly, while Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with late Trump backing. Collin County’s suburban demographics—marked by growth, higher education levels, and independent voters—align with areas where recent data indicate Talarico performs competitively, reflecting broader shifts in Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs. Forecasters rate the overall race a toss-up or lean Republican, with November 3 resolution depending on turnout and late spending.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
交易量
$63结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.**James Talarico holds an implied 78% probability of winning Collin County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, well ahead of Ken Paxton at 16.5%.** Recent statewide polling averages show the contest as a toss-up or slight Talarico edge, with the Democrat leading or tied in multiple August surveys amid strong independent and suburban support. Talarico defeated Jasmine Crockett in the Democratic primary and has outraised Paxton significantly, while Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with late Trump backing. Collin County’s suburban demographics—marked by growth, higher education levels, and independent voters—align with areas where recent data indicate Talarico performs competitively, reflecting broader shifts in Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs. Forecasters rate the overall race a toss-up or lean Republican, with November 3 resolution depending on turnout and late spending.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
交易量
$63结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ET**James Talarico holds an implied 78% probability of winning Collin County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race, well ahead of Ken Paxton at 16.5%.** Recent statewide polling averages show the contest as a toss-up or slight Talarico edge, with the Democrat leading or tied in multiple August surveys amid strong independent and suburban support. Talarico defeated Jasmine Crockett in the Democratic primary and has outraised Paxton significantly, while Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with late Trump backing. Collin County’s suburban demographics—marked by growth, higher education levels, and independent voters—align with areas where recent data indicate Talarico performs competitively, reflecting broader shifts in Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs. Forecasters rate the overall race a toss-up or lean Republican, with November 3 resolution depending on turnout and late spending.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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