Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the Maricopa County winner in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, reflecting recent statewide polling averages that show her ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly 6–11 points. Hobbs benefits from incumbency advantages, her July selection of former Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate to bolster suburban appeal in the populous Phoenix metro area, and Democratic performance among independents in battleground counties. Biggs, who secured the GOP nomination with strong primary support and Trump backing, draws from conservative turnout in Maricopa but faces headwinds from the state's recent voting patterns and the general election's compressed timeline. The race remains fluid, with voter turnout, economic messaging, and any late shifts among independents likely to determine the final county margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
凯蒂·霍布斯（民主党）
30%
安迪·比格斯（共和党）
28%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
凯蒂·霍布斯（民主党）
$21 交易量
30%
安迪·比格斯（共和党）
$0 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the Maricopa County winner in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, reflecting recent statewide polling averages that show her ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly 6–11 points. Hobbs benefits from incumbency advantages, her July selection of former Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate to bolster suburban appeal in the populous Phoenix metro area, and Democratic performance among independents in battleground counties. Biggs, who secured the GOP nomination with strong primary support and Trump backing, draws from conservative turnout in Maricopa but faces headwinds from the state's recent voting patterns and the general election's compressed timeline. The race remains fluid, with voter turnout, economic messaging, and any late shifts among independents likely to determine the final county margin.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the Maricopa County winner in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, reflecting recent statewide polling averages that show her ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly 6–11 points. Hobbs benefits from incumbency advantages, her July selection of former Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate to bolster suburban appeal in the populous Phoenix metro area, and Democratic performance among independents in battleground counties. Biggs, who secured the GOP nomination with strong primary support and Trump backing, draws from conservative turnout in Maricopa but faces headwinds from the state's recent voting patterns and the general election's compressed timeline. The race remains fluid, with voter turnout, economic messaging, and any late shifts among independents likely to determine the final county margin.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETIncumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the Maricopa County winner in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, reflecting recent statewide polling averages that show her ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs by roughly 6–11 points. Hobbs benefits from incumbency advantages, her July selection of former Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate to bolster suburban appeal in the populous Phoenix metro area, and Democratic performance among independents in battleground counties. Biggs, who secured the GOP nomination with strong primary support and Trump backing, draws from conservative turnout in Maricopa but faces headwinds from the state's recent voting patterns and the general election's compressed timeline. The race remains fluid, with voter turnout, economic messaging, and any late shifts among independents likely to determine the final county margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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