Republican incumbent Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election after winning his party's primary unopposed. He faces Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her August 11 primary. Scott's longstanding popularity as governor, even in a state that leans Democratic federally, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a Republican outcome. July polling showed him ahead of Janoo by double digits among likely voters, though with substantial undecideds and a modest decline in his job approval rating earlier in the year. Janoo's limited statewide name recognition and the absence of stronger Democratic challengers have kept the implied probability of a Democratic win low. No major late developments have shifted the race dynamics since the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$63,437 交易量
$63,437 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
89%
民主党
11%
$63,437 交易量
$63,437 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$29,825 交易量
89%
民主党
$33,612 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election after winning his party's primary unopposed. He faces Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her August 11 primary. Scott's longstanding popularity as governor, even in a state that leans Democratic federally, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a Republican outcome. July polling showed him ahead of Janoo by double digits among likely voters, though with substantial undecideds and a modest decline in his job approval rating earlier in the year. Janoo's limited statewide name recognition and the absence of stronger Democratic challengers have kept the implied probability of a Democratic win low. No major late developments have shifted the race dynamics since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$63,437结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election after winning his party's primary unopposed. He faces Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her August 11 primary. Scott's longstanding popularity as governor, even in a state that leans Democratic federally, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a Republican outcome. July polling showed him ahead of Janoo by double digits among likely voters, though with substantial undecideds and a modest decline in his job approval rating earlier in the year. Janoo's limited statewide name recognition and the absence of stronger Democratic challengers have kept the implied probability of a Democratic win low. No major late developments have shifted the race dynamics since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$63,437结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRepublican incumbent Phil Scott seeks a sixth term in the November 3, 2026, Vermont gubernatorial election after winning his party's primary unopposed. He faces Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly won her August 11 primary. Scott's longstanding popularity as governor, even in a state that leans Democratic federally, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a Republican outcome. July polling showed him ahead of Janoo by double digits among likely voters, though with substantial undecideds and a modest decline in his job approval rating earlier in the year. Janoo's limited statewide name recognition and the absence of stronger Democratic challengers have kept the implied probability of a Democratic win low. No major late developments have shifted the race dynamics since the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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