Florida’s 13th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and rates as Likely Republican across major forecasters, reflecting its consistent tilt in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna faces a Republican primary challenge from Courtney Offutt ahead of the August 18 vote, while Democrats have listed the seat among 2026 targets yet field limited high-profile recruitment so far. The district experienced minimal change in the legislature’s 2026 redistricting map, which a court upheld for this cycle. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan lean, and an early primary—anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold, though national midterm dynamics and primary outcomes could still influence general-election positioning before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
44%
民主党
47%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$226 交易量
44%
民主党
$837 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 13th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and rates as Likely Republican across major forecasters, reflecting its consistent tilt in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna faces a Republican primary challenge from Courtney Offutt ahead of the August 18 vote, while Democrats have listed the seat among 2026 targets yet field limited high-profile recruitment so far. The district experienced minimal change in the legislature’s 2026 redistricting map, which a court upheld for this cycle. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan lean, and an early primary—anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold, though national midterm dynamics and primary outcomes could still influence general-election positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$1,063结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 13th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and rates as Likely Republican across major forecasters, reflecting its consistent tilt in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna faces a Republican primary challenge from Courtney Offutt ahead of the August 18 vote, while Democrats have listed the seat among 2026 targets yet field limited high-profile recruitment so far. The district experienced minimal change in the legislature’s 2026 redistricting map, which a court upheld for this cycle. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan lean, and an early primary—anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold, though national midterm dynamics and primary outcomes could still influence general-election positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,063结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 13th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and rates as Likely Republican across major forecasters, reflecting its consistent tilt in recent presidential and House voting. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna faces a Republican primary challenge from Courtney Offutt ahead of the August 18 vote, while Democrats have listed the seat among 2026 targets yet field limited high-profile recruitment so far. The district experienced minimal change in the legislature’s 2026 redistricting map, which a court upheld for this cycle. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan lean, and an early primary—anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold, though national midterm dynamics and primary outcomes could still influence general-election positioning before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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