Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna faces a primary challenge from Courtney Offutt ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest in this R+6 district, while Democrats have recruited candidates including retired Brigadier General Leela Gray. Recent polling shows Luna holding a slim edge over Gray, consistent with the market's narrow Republican lead. House Democrats have identified the seat as a target, and analysts rate it Likely Republican, though the combination of Luna's primary contest, Democratic recruitment, and the district's modest partisan lean keeps the general election outcome in play. Developments in the coming months, including primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning, could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
45%
民主党
44%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$226 交易量
45%
民主党
$837 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna faces a primary challenge from Courtney Offutt ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest in this R+6 district, while Democrats have recruited candidates including retired Brigadier General Leela Gray. Recent polling shows Luna holding a slim edge over Gray, consistent with the market's narrow Republican lead. House Democrats have identified the seat as a target, and analysts rate it Likely Republican, though the combination of Luna's primary contest, Democratic recruitment, and the district's modest partisan lean keeps the general election outcome in play. Developments in the coming months, including primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning, could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$1,063结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna faces a primary challenge from Courtney Offutt ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest in this R+6 district, while Democrats have recruited candidates including retired Brigadier General Leela Gray. Recent polling shows Luna holding a slim edge over Gray, consistent with the market's narrow Republican lead. House Democrats have identified the seat as a target, and analysts rate it Likely Republican, though the combination of Luna's primary contest, Democratic recruitment, and the district's modest partisan lean keeps the general election outcome in play. Developments in the coming months, including primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning, could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,063结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna faces a primary challenge from Courtney Offutt ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest in this R+6 district, while Democrats have recruited candidates including retired Brigadier General Leela Gray. Recent polling shows Luna holding a slim edge over Gray, consistent with the market's narrow Republican lead. House Democrats have identified the seat as a target, and analysts rate it Likely Republican, though the combination of Luna's primary contest, Democratic recruitment, and the district's modest partisan lean keeps the general election outcome in play. Developments in the coming months, including primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning, could widen or close the gap reflected in current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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