Florida's 13th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a Republican-held seat with incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeking a third term after winning re-election in 2024. The district carries a modest Republican lean per partisan voting index measures, yet House Democratic campaign committees have identified it as a target and begun recruitment efforts. A May 2026 poll sponsored by a Democratic group showed Luna leading one declared Democratic primary contender by just two points. With Republican and Democratic primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3 still months away, traders appear to weigh the combination of Luna's incumbency advantages against Democratic investment potential and early polling volatility, producing a narrow implied probability gap between the parties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
70%
民主党
31%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$226 交易量
70%
民主党
$837 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 13th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a Republican-held seat with incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeking a third term after winning re-election in 2024. The district carries a modest Republican lean per partisan voting index measures, yet House Democratic campaign committees have identified it as a target and begun recruitment efforts. A May 2026 poll sponsored by a Democratic group showed Luna leading one declared Democratic primary contender by just two points. With Republican and Democratic primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3 still months away, traders appear to weigh the combination of Luna's incumbency advantages against Democratic investment potential and early polling volatility, producing a narrow implied probability gap between the parties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$1,063结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 13th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a Republican-held seat with incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeking a third term after winning re-election in 2024. The district carries a modest Republican lean per partisan voting index measures, yet House Democratic campaign committees have identified it as a target and begun recruitment efforts. A May 2026 poll sponsored by a Democratic group showed Luna leading one declared Democratic primary contender by just two points. With Republican and Democratic primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3 still months away, traders appear to weigh the combination of Luna's incumbency advantages against Democratic investment potential and early polling volatility, producing a narrow implied probability gap between the parties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,063结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 13th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a Republican-held seat with incumbent Anna Paulina Luna seeking a third term after winning re-election in 2024. The district carries a modest Republican lean per partisan voting index measures, yet House Democratic campaign committees have identified it as a target and begun recruitment efforts. A May 2026 poll sponsored by a Democratic group showed Luna leading one declared Democratic primary contender by just two points. With Republican and Democratic primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3 still months away, traders appear to weigh the combination of Luna's incumbency advantages against Democratic investment potential and early polling volatility, producing a narrow implied probability gap between the parties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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