Recent redistricting has shifted Florida's 14th congressional district toward a modest Republican lean, as reflected in forecaster ratings like Cook Political Report's Lean Republican assessment, while Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks another term. This boundary adjustment interacts with Castor's long-standing local support in the Tampa-area district, producing closely matched trader consensus on party outcomes ahead of the August 18 primaries. Candidate recruitment, fundraising totals, and mobilization among key voting blocs will likely determine whether the seat stays competitive or tilts further. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for polling shifts or national midterm dynamics to influence the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,127 交易量
$21,127 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
53%
共和党
51%
$21,127 交易量
$21,127 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,267 交易量
53%
共和党
$11,859 交易量
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting has shifted Florida's 14th congressional district toward a modest Republican lean, as reflected in forecaster ratings like Cook Political Report's Lean Republican assessment, while Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks another term. This boundary adjustment interacts with Castor's long-standing local support in the Tampa-area district, producing closely matched trader consensus on party outcomes ahead of the August 18 primaries. Candidate recruitment, fundraising totals, and mobilization among key voting blocs will likely determine whether the seat stays competitive or tilts further. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for polling shifts or national midterm dynamics to influence the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$21,127结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting has shifted Florida's 14th congressional district toward a modest Republican lean, as reflected in forecaster ratings like Cook Political Report's Lean Republican assessment, while Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks another term. This boundary adjustment interacts with Castor's long-standing local support in the Tampa-area district, producing closely matched trader consensus on party outcomes ahead of the August 18 primaries. Candidate recruitment, fundraising totals, and mobilization among key voting blocs will likely determine whether the seat stays competitive or tilts further. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for polling shifts or national midterm dynamics to influence the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,127结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting has shifted Florida's 14th congressional district toward a modest Republican lean, as reflected in forecaster ratings like Cook Political Report's Lean Republican assessment, while Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor seeks another term. This boundary adjustment interacts with Castor's long-standing local support in the Tampa-area district, producing closely matched trader consensus on party outcomes ahead of the August 18 primaries. Candidate recruitment, fundraising totals, and mobilization among key voting blocs will likely determine whether the seat stays competitive or tilts further. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for polling shifts or national midterm dynamics to influence the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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