Kathy Castor’s incumbency anchors Democratic positioning in Florida’s 14th district ahead of the November 2026 general election, even after Governor Ron DeSantis signed a new congressional map in May that shifts the statewide balance toward Republicans. The redrawn boundaries and a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+4 have tightened the race, prompting multiple forecasters to rate it Lean Republican while traders assign the Democratic nominee a modest edge. With primaries set for August 18 and filing deadlines recently passed, campaign fundraising and candidate recruitment in both parties will shape the final margin. The narrow spread between the two parties reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns and whether the incumbent’s established support can offset the map’s structural changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,137 交易量
$21,137 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
56%
共和党
44%
$21,137 交易量
$21,137 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,272 交易量
56%
共和党
$11,864 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor’s incumbency anchors Democratic positioning in Florida’s 14th district ahead of the November 2026 general election, even after Governor Ron DeSantis signed a new congressional map in May that shifts the statewide balance toward Republicans. The redrawn boundaries and a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+4 have tightened the race, prompting multiple forecasters to rate it Lean Republican while traders assign the Democratic nominee a modest edge. With primaries set for August 18 and filing deadlines recently passed, campaign fundraising and candidate recruitment in both parties will shape the final margin. The narrow spread between the two parties reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns and whether the incumbent’s established support can offset the map’s structural changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$21,137结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor’s incumbency anchors Democratic positioning in Florida’s 14th district ahead of the November 2026 general election, even after Governor Ron DeSantis signed a new congressional map in May that shifts the statewide balance toward Republicans. The redrawn boundaries and a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+4 have tightened the race, prompting multiple forecasters to rate it Lean Republican while traders assign the Democratic nominee a modest edge. With primaries set for August 18 and filing deadlines recently passed, campaign fundraising and candidate recruitment in both parties will shape the final margin. The narrow spread between the two parties reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns and whether the incumbent’s established support can offset the map’s structural changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,137结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Castor’s incumbency anchors Democratic positioning in Florida’s 14th district ahead of the November 2026 general election, even after Governor Ron DeSantis signed a new congressional map in May that shifts the statewide balance toward Republicans. The redrawn boundaries and a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+4 have tightened the race, prompting multiple forecasters to rate it Lean Republican while traders assign the Democratic nominee a modest edge. With primaries set for August 18 and filing deadlines recently passed, campaign fundraising and candidate recruitment in both parties will shape the final margin. The narrow spread between the two parties reflects uncertainty over turnout patterns and whether the incumbent’s established support can offset the map’s structural changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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