The Texas 13th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the market's 92.5% Republican consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin in the March primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side, leaving limited opportunity for partisan shifts in this Panhandle seat. Historical voting patterns, redistricting outcomes favoring the majority party, and low Democratic performance in comparable districts further anchor trader positioning. A national political wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district based on prior cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,628 交易量
$13,628 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$13,628 交易量
$13,628 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,028 交易量
93%
民主党
$10,600 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 13th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the market's 92.5% Republican consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin in the March primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side, leaving limited opportunity for partisan shifts in this Panhandle seat. Historical voting patterns, redistricting outcomes favoring the majority party, and low Democratic performance in comparable districts further anchor trader positioning. A national political wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district based on prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$13,628结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 13th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the market's 92.5% Republican consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin in the March primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side, leaving limited opportunity for partisan shifts in this Panhandle seat. Historical voting patterns, redistricting outcomes favoring the majority party, and low Democratic performance in comparable districts further anchor trader positioning. A national political wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district based on prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,628结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 13th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the market's 92.5% Republican consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin in the March primary, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed on his side, leaving limited opportunity for partisan shifts in this Panhandle seat. Historical voting patterns, redistricting outcomes favoring the majority party, and low Democratic performance in comparable districts further anchor trader positioning. A national political wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this district based on prior cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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