Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while Democratic contenders advanced through a May runoff to select their general election nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting and making it one of the most reliably conservative seats nationwide. Mid-decade redistricting preserved this partisan composition ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages and limited recent polling movement. A major scandal, significant health development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,977 交易量
$11,977 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$11,977 交易量
$11,977 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$1,414 交易量
92%
民主党
$10,563 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while Democratic contenders advanced through a May runoff to select their general election nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting and making it one of the most reliably conservative seats nationwide. Mid-decade redistricting preserved this partisan composition ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages and limited recent polling movement. A major scandal, significant health development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$11,977结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while Democratic contenders advanced through a May runoff to select their general election nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting and making it one of the most reliably conservative seats nationwide. Mid-decade redistricting preserved this partisan composition ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages and limited recent polling movement. A major scandal, significant health development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,977结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote, while Democratic contenders advanced through a May runoff to select their general election nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting and making it one of the most reliably conservative seats nationwide. Mid-decade redistricting preserved this partisan composition ahead of the November 2026 general election. Traders assign the Republican Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages and limited recent polling movement. A major scandal, significant health development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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