New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and congressional voting. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat has held the seat since 2016 with general-election margins often exceeding 80 percent, while Republican candidates have drawn minimal support in recent cycles. The June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee ahead of the November general election, but the district’s composition leaves little room for a Republican victory. Trader pricing at roughly 95 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors; only an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic turnout shift would realistically alter the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,627 交易量
$35,627 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
2%
$35,627 交易量
$35,627 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$23,542 交易量
94%
共和党
$12,085 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and congressional voting. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat has held the seat since 2016 with general-election margins often exceeding 80 percent, while Republican candidates have drawn minimal support in recent cycles. The June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee ahead of the November general election, but the district’s composition leaves little room for a Republican victory. Trader pricing at roughly 95 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors; only an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic turnout shift would realistically alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$35,627结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and congressional voting. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat has held the seat since 2016 with general-election margins often exceeding 80 percent, while Republican candidates have drawn minimal support in recent cycles. The June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee ahead of the November general election, but the district’s composition leaves little room for a Republican victory. Trader pricing at roughly 95 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors; only an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic turnout shift would realistically alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,627结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and congressional voting. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat has held the seat since 2016 with general-election margins often exceeding 80 percent, while Republican candidates have drawn minimal support in recent cycles. The June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee ahead of the November general election, but the district’s composition leaves little room for a Republican victory. Trader pricing at roughly 95 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors; only an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic turnout shift would realistically alter the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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