The heavily Democratic lean of New York's 13th Congressional District, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat opened after longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat, and Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in a district with consistent partisan voting patterns favoring Democrats in recent cycles. Low odds for a Republican outcome reflect limited competitive pathways absent major unforeseen shifts in turnout, candidate-specific developments, or broader national political realignments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,522 交易量
$39,522 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$39,522 交易量
$39,522 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$27,078 交易量
96%
共和党
$12,445 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of New York's 13th Congressional District, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat opened after longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat, and Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in a district with consistent partisan voting patterns favoring Democrats in recent cycles. Low odds for a Republican outcome reflect limited competitive pathways absent major unforeseen shifts in turnout, candidate-specific developments, or broader national political realignments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$39,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of New York's 13th Congressional District, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat opened after longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat, and Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in a district with consistent partisan voting patterns favoring Democrats in recent cycles. Low odds for a Republican outcome reflect limited competitive pathways absent major unforeseen shifts in turnout, candidate-specific developments, or broader national political realignments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of New York's 13th Congressional District, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat opened after longtime incumbent Adriano Espaillat, and Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in a district with consistent partisan voting patterns favoring Democrats in recent cycles. Low odds for a Republican outcome reflect limited competitive pathways absent major unforeseen shifts in turnout, candidate-specific developments, or broader national political realignments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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