Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in Arizona’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Both candidates advanced unopposed from July primaries in a district long rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Gosar’s consistent electoral strength, combined with the area’s partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpins the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. Forecasters cite historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers as stabilizing factors. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that lifts turnout in suburban precincts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,914 交易量
$18,914 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$18,914 交易量
$18,914 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,146 交易量
95%
民主党
$8,768 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in Arizona’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Both candidates advanced unopposed from July primaries in a district long rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Gosar’s consistent electoral strength, combined with the area’s partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpins the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. Forecasters cite historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers as stabilizing factors. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that lifts turnout in suburban precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$18,914结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in Arizona’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Both candidates advanced unopposed from July primaries in a district long rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Gosar’s consistent electoral strength, combined with the area’s partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpins the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. Forecasters cite historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers as stabilizing factors. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that lifts turnout in suburban precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,914结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky in Arizona’s 9th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Both candidates advanced unopposed from July primaries in a district long rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Gosar’s consistent electoral strength, combined with the area’s partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure, underpins the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. Forecasters cite historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers as stabilizing factors. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that lifts turnout in suburban precincts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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