**Redistricting transformed Texas’s 9th congressional district into a Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The new boundaries shifted the district from heavily Democratic southern Houston areas to eastern Houston neighborhoods and suburbs such as Pasadena, Baytown, Deer Park, and parts of Liberty County, where Donald Trump posted comfortable pluralities in recent cycles. This change prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run instead in the neighboring 18th district. With no sitting member defending the seat, Republicans nominated Alex Mealer after she defeated state Rep. Briscoe Cain in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrats selected Leticia Gutierrez. The resulting partisan composition and absence of an incumbent produce the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. No major subsequent events have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
78%
民主党
19%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$2,560 交易量
78%
民主党
$2,354 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Redistricting transformed Texas’s 9th congressional district into a Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The new boundaries shifted the district from heavily Democratic southern Houston areas to eastern Houston neighborhoods and suburbs such as Pasadena, Baytown, Deer Park, and parts of Liberty County, where Donald Trump posted comfortable pluralities in recent cycles. This change prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run instead in the neighboring 18th district.
With no sitting member defending the seat, Republicans nominated Alex Mealer after she defeated state Rep. Briscoe Cain in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrats selected Leticia Gutierrez. The resulting partisan composition and absence of an incumbent produce the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. No major subsequent events have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$4,914结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Redistricting transformed Texas’s 9th congressional district into a Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The new boundaries shifted the district from heavily Democratic southern Houston areas to eastern Houston neighborhoods and suburbs such as Pasadena, Baytown, Deer Park, and parts of Liberty County, where Donald Trump posted comfortable pluralities in recent cycles. This change prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run instead in the neighboring 18th district.
With no sitting member defending the seat, Republicans nominated Alex Mealer after she defeated state Rep. Briscoe Cain in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrats selected Leticia Gutierrez. The resulting partisan composition and absence of an incumbent produce the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. No major subsequent events have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,914结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Redistricting transformed Texas’s 9th congressional district into a Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 2026 general election.** The new boundaries shifted the district from heavily Democratic southern Houston areas to eastern Houston neighborhoods and suburbs such as Pasadena, Baytown, Deer Park, and parts of Liberty County, where Donald Trump posted comfortable pluralities in recent cycles. This change prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run instead in the neighboring 18th district. With no sitting member defending the seat, Republicans nominated Alex Mealer after she defeated state Rep. Briscoe Cain in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrats selected Leticia Gutierrez. The resulting partisan composition and absence of an incumbent produce the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. No major subsequent events have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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