Redistricting for the 2026 cycle shifted Texas's 9th congressional district into solid Republican territory on partisan voting index metrics, creating an open seat after longtime incumbent Al Green opted to run elsewhere. This structural change underpins the dominant trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in a recent runoff victory over state Rep. Briscoe Cain, positioning a mainstream candidate for the general election against Democrat Leticia Gutierrez. With the November 2026 contest months away, few intervening events have altered the baseline assessment reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
80%
民主党
17%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$6,475 交易量
80%
民主党
$2,980 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting for the 2026 cycle shifted Texas's 9th congressional district into solid Republican territory on partisan voting index metrics, creating an open seat after longtime incumbent Al Green opted to run elsewhere. This structural change underpins the dominant trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in a recent runoff victory over state Rep. Briscoe Cain, positioning a mainstream candidate for the general election against Democrat Leticia Gutierrez. With the November 2026 contest months away, few intervening events have altered the baseline assessment reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$9,455结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting for the 2026 cycle shifted Texas's 9th congressional district into solid Republican territory on partisan voting index metrics, creating an open seat after longtime incumbent Al Green opted to run elsewhere. This structural change underpins the dominant trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in a recent runoff victory over state Rep. Briscoe Cain, positioning a mainstream candidate for the general election against Democrat Leticia Gutierrez. With the November 2026 contest months away, few intervening events have altered the baseline assessment reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,455结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting for the 2026 cycle shifted Texas's 9th congressional district into solid Republican territory on partisan voting index metrics, creating an open seat after longtime incumbent Al Green opted to run elsewhere. This structural change underpins the dominant trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in a recent runoff victory over state Rep. Briscoe Cain, positioning a mainstream candidate for the general election against Democrat Leticia Gutierrez. With the November 2026 contest months away, few intervening events have altered the baseline assessment reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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