Florida's 9th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state redistricting, finalized in May 2026 after legislative approval and court review, has shifted boundaries to produce a more Republican-leaning map statewide, rated "Likely Republican" by major forecasters. Soto's 2024 performance exceeded the presidential ticket but faces an uphill path under the new lines encompassing parts of Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties. Trader consensus reflects these structural changes and the broader midterm environment, with limited late developments altering positioning since qualifying closed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,348 交易量
$13,348 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
68%
民主党
33%
$13,348 交易量
$13,348 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,113 交易量
68%
民主党
$5,235 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state redistricting, finalized in May 2026 after legislative approval and court review, has shifted boundaries to produce a more Republican-leaning map statewide, rated "Likely Republican" by major forecasters. Soto's 2024 performance exceeded the presidential ticket but faces an uphill path under the new lines encompassing parts of Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties. Trader consensus reflects these structural changes and the broader midterm environment, with limited late developments altering positioning since qualifying closed.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$13,348结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state redistricting, finalized in May 2026 after legislative approval and court review, has shifted boundaries to produce a more Republican-leaning map statewide, rated "Likely Republican" by major forecasters. Soto's 2024 performance exceeded the presidential ticket but faces an uphill path under the new lines encompassing parts of Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties. Trader consensus reflects these structural changes and the broader midterm environment, with limited late developments altering positioning since qualifying closed.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,348结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent state redistricting, finalized in May 2026 after legislative approval and court review, has shifted boundaries to produce a more Republican-leaning map statewide, rated "Likely Republican" by major forecasters. Soto's 2024 performance exceeded the presidential ticket but faces an uphill path under the new lines encompassing parts of Osceola, Orange, and Polk counties. Trader consensus reflects these structural changes and the broader midterm environment, with limited late developments altering positioning since qualifying closed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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