Florida's 9th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking reelection in a seat redrawn after the 2020 census to favor Republicans by roughly eight points on the partisan voting index. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as likely Republican, reflecting the district's shift in voter composition and Florida's broader Republican dominance in recent federal elections. Soto outperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee by nine points, yet the structural advantage leaves Democrats with limited margin for error heading into August primaries and the November general election. Trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee near 68 percent incorporates these baseline dynamics, with limited late-cycle developments to date that could alter the balance before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,339 交易量
$13,339 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
68%
民主党
32%
$13,339 交易量
$13,339 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,113 交易量
68%
民主党
$5,227 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking reelection in a seat redrawn after the 2020 census to favor Republicans by roughly eight points on the partisan voting index. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as likely Republican, reflecting the district's shift in voter composition and Florida's broader Republican dominance in recent federal elections. Soto outperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee by nine points, yet the structural advantage leaves Democrats with limited margin for error heading into August primaries and the November general election. Trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee near 68 percent incorporates these baseline dynamics, with limited late-cycle developments to date that could alter the balance before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$13,339结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking reelection in a seat redrawn after the 2020 census to favor Republicans by roughly eight points on the partisan voting index. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as likely Republican, reflecting the district's shift in voter composition and Florida's broader Republican dominance in recent federal elections. Soto outperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee by nine points, yet the structural advantage leaves Democrats with limited margin for error heading into August primaries and the November general election. Trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee near 68 percent incorporates these baseline dynamics, with limited late-cycle developments to date that could alter the balance before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,339结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking reelection in a seat redrawn after the 2020 census to favor Republicans by roughly eight points on the partisan voting index. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as likely Republican, reflecting the district's shift in voter composition and Florida's broader Republican dominance in recent federal elections. Soto outperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee by nine points, yet the structural advantage leaves Democrats with limited margin for error heading into August primaries and the November general election. Trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee near 68 percent incorporates these baseline dynamics, with limited late-cycle developments to date that could alter the balance before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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