Florida's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mike Haridopolos seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, with the seat rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's partisan voting index and recent voting patterns, including a strong Republican performance in the prior cycle, underpin trader consensus around an 82% probability of a GOP victory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries, but the district's structural lean limits their general-election prospects absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. No late-breaking developments have altered the race's fundamentals in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,070 交易量
$12,070 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
82%
民主党
17%
$12,070 交易量
$12,070 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,209 交易量
82%
民主党
$5,861 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mike Haridopolos seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, with the seat rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's partisan voting index and recent voting patterns, including a strong Republican performance in the prior cycle, underpin trader consensus around an 82% probability of a GOP victory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries, but the district's structural lean limits their general-election prospects absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. No late-breaking developments have altered the race's fundamentals in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$12,070结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mike Haridopolos seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, with the seat rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's partisan voting index and recent voting patterns, including a strong Republican performance in the prior cycle, underpin trader consensus around an 82% probability of a GOP victory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries, but the district's structural lean limits their general-election prospects absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. No late-breaking developments have altered the race's fundamentals in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,070结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mike Haridopolos seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, with the seat rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's partisan voting index and recent voting patterns, including a strong Republican performance in the prior cycle, underpin trader consensus around an 82% probability of a GOP victory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries, but the district's structural lean limits their general-election prospects absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. No late-breaking developments have altered the race's fundamentals in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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