Texas's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican nominee favored by trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability. The district supported the Republican presidential candidate by double-digit margins in the prior cycle and features no incumbent after Morgan Luttrell's retirement. Jessica Steinmann secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with endorsements from key party figures, while Laura Jones advanced as the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan composition and historical voting patterns. No significant developments in the past month have altered this positioning, as the general election campaign is still in its early stages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,567 交易量
90%
民主党
$3,468 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican nominee favored by trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability. The district supported the Republican presidential candidate by double-digit margins in the prior cycle and features no incumbent after Morgan Luttrell's retirement. Jessica Steinmann secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with endorsements from key party figures, while Laura Jones advanced as the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan composition and historical voting patterns. No significant developments in the past month have altered this positioning, as the general election campaign is still in its early stages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$6,035结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican nominee favored by trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability. The district supported the Republican presidential candidate by double-digit margins in the prior cycle and features no incumbent after Morgan Luttrell's retirement. Jessica Steinmann secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with endorsements from key party figures, while Laura Jones advanced as the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan composition and historical voting patterns. No significant developments in the past month have altered this positioning, as the general election campaign is still in its early stages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,035结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 8th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican nominee favored by trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability. The district supported the Republican presidential candidate by double-digit margins in the prior cycle and features no incumbent after Morgan Luttrell's retirement. Jessica Steinmann secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with endorsements from key party figures, while Laura Jones advanced as the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan composition and historical voting patterns. No significant developments in the past month have altered this positioning, as the general election campaign is still in its early stages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题