Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 8th Congressional District with 68 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Senator Cruz, and retiring incumbent Morgan Luttrell. The open seat sits in a solidly Republican district that favored the GOP by double digits in recent presidential and House contests, leading forecasters to rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Steinmann’s substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Laura Jones, who prevailed in her own primary, reinforces trader expectations of a Republican hold. With the November 3 general election approaching, late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,533 交易量
$20,533 交易量
2026-11-02
杰西卡·哈特·斯坦曼（共和党）
95%
劳拉·琼斯（民主党）
6%
$20,533 交易量
$20,533 交易量
2026-11-02
杰西卡·哈特·斯坦曼（共和党）
$9,278 交易量
95%
劳拉·琼斯（民主党）
$11,255 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 8th Congressional District with 68 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Senator Cruz, and retiring incumbent Morgan Luttrell. The open seat sits in a solidly Republican district that favored the GOP by double digits in recent presidential and House contests, leading forecasters to rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Steinmann’s substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Laura Jones, who prevailed in her own primary, reinforces trader expectations of a Republican hold. With the November 3 general election approaching, late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$20,533结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 8th Congressional District with 68 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Senator Cruz, and retiring incumbent Morgan Luttrell. The open seat sits in a solidly Republican district that favored the GOP by double digits in recent presidential and House contests, leading forecasters to rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Steinmann’s substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Laura Jones, who prevailed in her own primary, reinforces trader expectations of a Republican hold. With the November 3 general election approaching, late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,533结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETJessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 8th Congressional District with 68 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Senator Cruz, and retiring incumbent Morgan Luttrell. The open seat sits in a solidly Republican district that favored the GOP by double digits in recent presidential and House contests, leading forecasters to rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Steinmann’s substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Laura Jones, who prevailed in her own primary, reinforces trader expectations of a Republican hold. With the November 3 general election approaching, late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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