Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democratic challenger Nancy Mannion in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district, a seat covering conservative areas including Lancaster County and southern York County with an R+11 partisan voting index. Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary and holds strong incumbency advantages in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices attributes the heavy Republican tilt to these structural factors and limited Democratic momentum, with the November 3, 2026 general election still months away and no major developments reported that would alter the competitive landscape.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,358 交易量
$17,358 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
$17,358 交易量
$17,358 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$10,146 交易量
90%
民主党
$7,212 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democratic challenger Nancy Mannion in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district, a seat covering conservative areas including Lancaster County and southern York County with an R+11 partisan voting index. Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary and holds strong incumbency advantages in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices attributes the heavy Republican tilt to these structural factors and limited Democratic momentum, with the November 3, 2026 general election still months away and no major developments reported that would alter the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$17,358结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democratic challenger Nancy Mannion in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district, a seat covering conservative areas including Lancaster County and southern York County with an R+11 partisan voting index. Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary and holds strong incumbency advantages in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices attributes the heavy Republican tilt to these structural factors and limited Democratic momentum, with the November 3, 2026 general election still months away and no major developments reported that would alter the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,358结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democratic challenger Nancy Mannion in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district, a seat covering conservative areas including Lancaster County and southern York County with an R+11 partisan voting index. Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary and holds strong incumbency advantages in a district that has consistently favored Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices attributes the heavy Republican tilt to these structural factors and limited Democratic momentum, with the November 3, 2026 general election still months away and no major developments reported that would alter the competitive landscape.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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