Florida's newly redrawn 22nd congressional district, shaped by the May 2026 legislative map signed by Governor DeSantis and upheld in court later that month, creates an open seat for the November 2026 general election following primary contests on August 18. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Ian Blake and Pia Dandiya, face a crowded Republican primary featuring self-funded contenders such as Michael Carbonara and others. The district's mix of Broward County and Palm Beach areas produces a narrow competitive balance, with the current trader consensus reflecting Democratic advantages in key population centers and turnout patterns against Republican structural strengths statewide. Filing deadlines and early fundraising reports underscore the race's intensity ahead of the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,433 交易量
$14,433 交易量
民主党
53%
共和党
41%
$14,433 交易量
$14,433 交易量
民主党
53%
共和党
41%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's newly redrawn 22nd congressional district, shaped by the May 2026 legislative map signed by Governor DeSantis and upheld in court later that month, creates an open seat for the November 2026 general election following primary contests on August 18. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Ian Blake and Pia Dandiya, face a crowded Republican primary featuring self-funded contenders such as Michael Carbonara and others. The district's mix of Broward County and Palm Beach areas produces a narrow competitive balance, with the current trader consensus reflecting Democratic advantages in key population centers and turnout patterns against Republican structural strengths statewide. Filing deadlines and early fundraising reports underscore the race's intensity ahead of the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题