The Polymarket consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 62.5% over Republicans at 38.5% for the FL-22 seat reflects the district's underlying partisan composition after the May 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor DeSantis, which shifted boundaries across Broward and Palm Beach counties while facing legal challenges that were upheld for this cycle. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel benefits from name recognition and established fundraising, though multiple Democratic primary contenders are competing ahead of the August 18 vote. National midterm dynamics, including historical opposition-party gains and generic ballot trends, provide additional support for Democratic positioning in this open-leaning contest rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report. Republican primary candidates and stronger recent fundraising totals represent the main countervailing factors that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,512 交易量
$14,512 交易量
民主党
65%
共和党
38%
$14,512 交易量
$14,512 交易量
民主党
65%
共和党
38%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Polymarket consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 62.5% over Republicans at 38.5% for the FL-22 seat reflects the district's underlying partisan composition after the May 2026 redistricting map signed by Governor DeSantis, which shifted boundaries across Broward and Palm Beach counties while facing legal challenges that were upheld for this cycle. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel benefits from name recognition and established fundraising, though multiple Democratic primary contenders are competing ahead of the August 18 vote. National midterm dynamics, including historical opposition-party gains and generic ballot trends, provide additional support for Democratic positioning in this open-leaning contest rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report. Republican primary candidates and stronger recent fundraising totals represent the main countervailing factors that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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