Redistricting signed into law in May 2026 shifted Florida’s congressional map, moving the new FL-22 into a more competitive posture with a Republican tilt after previously Democratic-leaning areas were adjusted. The August 18 primaries remain weeks away, leaving both parties with open fields that include multiple declared candidates on each side and no clear frontrunner yet. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a modest 52.5% implied probability versus 40.5% for the Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan balance and historical Democratic performance in the core Broward County portions despite the map changes. Upcoming qualifying deadlines and primary results will likely provide the next catalysts for probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,433 交易量
$14,433 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
53%
共和党
41%
$14,433 交易量
$14,433 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,980 交易量
53%
共和党
$7,453 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting signed into law in May 2026 shifted Florida’s congressional map, moving the new FL-22 into a more competitive posture with a Republican tilt after previously Democratic-leaning areas were adjusted. The August 18 primaries remain weeks away, leaving both parties with open fields that include multiple declared candidates on each side and no clear frontrunner yet. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a modest 52.5% implied probability versus 40.5% for the Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan balance and historical Democratic performance in the core Broward County portions despite the map changes. Upcoming qualifying deadlines and primary results will likely provide the next catalysts for probability shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$14,433结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting signed into law in May 2026 shifted Florida’s congressional map, moving the new FL-22 into a more competitive posture with a Republican tilt after previously Democratic-leaning areas were adjusted. The August 18 primaries remain weeks away, leaving both parties with open fields that include multiple declared candidates on each side and no clear frontrunner yet. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a modest 52.5% implied probability versus 40.5% for the Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan balance and historical Democratic performance in the core Broward County portions despite the map changes. Upcoming qualifying deadlines and primary results will likely provide the next catalysts for probability shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,433结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting signed into law in May 2026 shifted Florida’s congressional map, moving the new FL-22 into a more competitive posture with a Republican tilt after previously Democratic-leaning areas were adjusted. The August 18 primaries remain weeks away, leaving both parties with open fields that include multiple declared candidates on each side and no clear frontrunner yet. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a modest 52.5% implied probability versus 40.5% for the Republican, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan balance and historical Democratic performance in the core Broward County portions despite the map changes. Upcoming qualifying deadlines and primary results will likely provide the next catalysts for probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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