Florida's 23rd congressional district has emerged as a solidly Democratic seat following the 2026 redistricting process signed into law by Governor Ron DeSantis. The updated map produced a D+9 partisan voting index in the district, prompting nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report to rate the race Solid Democratic. Incumbent-aligned Democrat Lois Frankel leads the August 18 primary field against a single opponent, while multiple Republican primary candidates compete without an established frontrunner or sitting officeholder. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 82.5% to prevail in November, consistent with the district's urban Broward and southern Palm Beach County demographics and limited historical competitiveness under the new boundaries. No late-breaking polling or legal challenges have altered the consensus since the map took effect.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
80%
共和党
15%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$839 交易量
80%
共和党
$735 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district has emerged as a solidly Democratic seat following the 2026 redistricting process signed into law by Governor Ron DeSantis. The updated map produced a D+9 partisan voting index in the district, prompting nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report to rate the race Solid Democratic. Incumbent-aligned Democrat Lois Frankel leads the August 18 primary field against a single opponent, while multiple Republican primary candidates compete without an established frontrunner or sitting officeholder. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 82.5% to prevail in November, consistent with the district's urban Broward and southern Palm Beach County demographics and limited historical competitiveness under the new boundaries. No late-breaking polling or legal challenges have altered the consensus since the map took effect.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$1,574结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd congressional district has emerged as a solidly Democratic seat following the 2026 redistricting process signed into law by Governor Ron DeSantis. The updated map produced a D+9 partisan voting index in the district, prompting nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report to rate the race Solid Democratic. Incumbent-aligned Democrat Lois Frankel leads the August 18 primary field against a single opponent, while multiple Republican primary candidates compete without an established frontrunner or sitting officeholder. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 82.5% to prevail in November, consistent with the district's urban Broward and southern Palm Beach County demographics and limited historical competitiveness under the new boundaries. No late-breaking polling or legal challenges have altered the consensus since the map took effect.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,574结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 23rd congressional district has emerged as a solidly Democratic seat following the 2026 redistricting process signed into law by Governor Ron DeSantis. The updated map produced a D+9 partisan voting index in the district, prompting nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report to rate the race Solid Democratic. Incumbent-aligned Democrat Lois Frankel leads the August 18 primary field against a single opponent, while multiple Republican primary candidates compete without an established frontrunner or sitting officeholder. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 82.5% to prevail in November, consistent with the district's urban Broward and southern Palm Beach County demographics and limited historical competitiveness under the new boundaries. No late-breaking polling or legal challenges have altered the consensus since the map took effect.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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