Texas's 23rd congressional district carries a longstanding Republican tilt reflected in independent race ratings labeling it Likely Republican. Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales suspended his campaign ahead of the May 2026 primary runoff, consolidating conservative support behind a more hardline challenger. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright but trails in available head-to-head polling, including a March survey showing Herrera ahead by two points. With the November 3 general election five months away, trader consensus at 71 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's electoral math and limited recent polling movement, though the contest remains subject to national midterm dynamics and turnout in South Texas border counties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,065 交易量
$28,065 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
71%
民主党
28%
$28,065 交易量
$28,065 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$15,894 交易量
71%
民主党
$12,171 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 23rd congressional district carries a longstanding Republican tilt reflected in independent race ratings labeling it Likely Republican. Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales suspended his campaign ahead of the May 2026 primary runoff, consolidating conservative support behind a more hardline challenger. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright but trails in available head-to-head polling, including a March survey showing Herrera ahead by two points. With the November 3 general election five months away, trader consensus at 71 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's electoral math and limited recent polling movement, though the contest remains subject to national midterm dynamics and turnout in South Texas border counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$28,065结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 23rd congressional district carries a longstanding Republican tilt reflected in independent race ratings labeling it Likely Republican. Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales suspended his campaign ahead of the May 2026 primary runoff, consolidating conservative support behind a more hardline challenger. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright but trails in available head-to-head polling, including a March survey showing Herrera ahead by two points. With the November 3 general election five months away, trader consensus at 71 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's electoral math and limited recent polling movement, though the contest remains subject to national midterm dynamics and turnout in South Texas border counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,065结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 23rd congressional district carries a longstanding Republican tilt reflected in independent race ratings labeling it Likely Republican. Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales suspended his campaign ahead of the May 2026 primary runoff, consolidating conservative support behind a more hardline challenger. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright but trails in available head-to-head polling, including a March survey showing Herrera ahead by two points. With the November 3 general election five months away, trader consensus at 71 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's electoral math and limited recent polling movement, though the contest remains subject to national midterm dynamics and turnout in South Texas border counties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题