The Republican nominee's decisive primary victory and the district's established Republican tilt, reinforced by voting history and border-area demographics, underpin trader consensus favoring that party's outcome in the November 3 general election. Brandon Herrera advanced after the March primaries, succeeding the prior incumbent amid intraparty competition. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout secured her party's nomination, with available head-to-head polling indicating a competitive contest that remains Republican-leaning. Independent candidates appear on the ballot but show limited support. Scheduled events such as the general election itself represent the primary upcoming catalyst that could influence final probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,065 交易量
$28,065 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
71%
民主党
28%
$28,065 交易量
$28,065 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$15,894 交易量
71%
民主党
$12,171 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee's decisive primary victory and the district's established Republican tilt, reinforced by voting history and border-area demographics, underpin trader consensus favoring that party's outcome in the November 3 general election. Brandon Herrera advanced after the March primaries, succeeding the prior incumbent amid intraparty competition. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout secured her party's nomination, with available head-to-head polling indicating a competitive contest that remains Republican-leaning. Independent candidates appear on the ballot but show limited support. Scheduled events such as the general election itself represent the primary upcoming catalyst that could influence final probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$28,065结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee's decisive primary victory and the district's established Republican tilt, reinforced by voting history and border-area demographics, underpin trader consensus favoring that party's outcome in the November 3 general election. Brandon Herrera advanced after the March primaries, succeeding the prior incumbent amid intraparty competition. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout secured her party's nomination, with available head-to-head polling indicating a competitive contest that remains Republican-leaning. Independent candidates appear on the ballot but show limited support. Scheduled events such as the general election itself represent the primary upcoming catalyst that could influence final probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,065结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee's decisive primary victory and the district's established Republican tilt, reinforced by voting history and border-area demographics, underpin trader consensus favoring that party's outcome in the November 3 general election. Brandon Herrera advanced after the March primaries, succeeding the prior incumbent amid intraparty competition. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout secured her party's nomination, with available head-to-head polling indicating a competitive contest that remains Republican-leaning. Independent candidates appear on the ballot but show limited support. Scheduled events such as the general election itself represent the primary upcoming catalyst that could influence final probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题