Texas's 23rd congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in the 2026 cycle, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the general election Likely Republican. Following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid a personal scandal, Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary outright. A March 2026 poll showed Herrera leading Stout by two points in a head-to-head matchup. The district's voting patterns, combined with Herrera's primary performance and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome on November 3, though the race retains some competitiveness given the district's occasional swing potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,284 交易量
$27,284 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
69%
民主党
28%
$27,284 交易量
$27,284 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$15,150 交易量
69%
民主党
$12,134 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 23rd congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in the 2026 cycle, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the general election Likely Republican. Following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid a personal scandal, Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary outright. A March 2026 poll showed Herrera leading Stout by two points in a head-to-head matchup. The district's voting patterns, combined with Herrera's primary performance and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome on November 3, though the race retains some competitiveness given the district's occasional swing potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$27,284结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 23rd congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in the 2026 cycle, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the general election Likely Republican. Following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid a personal scandal, Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary outright. A March 2026 poll showed Herrera leading Stout by two points in a head-to-head matchup. The district's voting patterns, combined with Herrera's primary performance and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome on November 3, though the race retains some competitiveness given the district's occasional swing potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,284结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 23rd congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat in the 2026 cycle, with nonpartisan forecasters rating the general election Likely Republican. Following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid a personal scandal, Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary outright. A March 2026 poll showed Herrera leading Stout by two points in a head-to-head matchup. The district's voting patterns, combined with Herrera's primary performance and the absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment, underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome on November 3, though the race retains some competitiveness given the district's occasional swing potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题