The Republican nominee holds a strong edge in Texas's 23rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, consistent with the seat's post-redistricting Republican tilt and recent primary outcomes. Former Representative Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid personal scandals, paving the way for Brandon Herrera to secure the GOP nomination after a competitive March primary and subsequent runoff developments. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout emerged as her party's nominee, but a March poll showed her trailing Herrera by just two points amid high undecideds. Cook Political Report and similar analysts rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district's border-region demographics, historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points in 2024, and limited recent polling shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,423 交易量
$27,423 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
73%
民主党
28%
$27,423 交易量
$27,423 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$15,262 交易量
73%
民主党
$12,161 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong edge in Texas's 23rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, consistent with the seat's post-redistricting Republican tilt and recent primary outcomes. Former Representative Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid personal scandals, paving the way for Brandon Herrera to secure the GOP nomination after a competitive March primary and subsequent runoff developments. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout emerged as her party's nominee, but a March poll showed her trailing Herrera by just two points amid high undecideds. Cook Political Report and similar analysts rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district's border-region demographics, historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points in 2024, and limited recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$27,423结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong edge in Texas's 23rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, consistent with the seat's post-redistricting Republican tilt and recent primary outcomes. Former Representative Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid personal scandals, paving the way for Brandon Herrera to secure the GOP nomination after a competitive March primary and subsequent runoff developments. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout emerged as her party's nominee, but a March poll showed her trailing Herrera by just two points amid high undecideds. Cook Political Report and similar analysts rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district's border-region demographics, historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points in 2024, and limited recent polling shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,423结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a strong edge in Texas's 23rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, consistent with the seat's post-redistricting Republican tilt and recent primary outcomes. Former Representative Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid personal scandals, paving the way for Brandon Herrera to secure the GOP nomination after a competitive March primary and subsequent runoff developments. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout emerged as her party's nominee, but a March poll showed her trailing Herrera by just two points amid high undecideds. Cook Political Report and similar analysts rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district's border-region demographics, historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points in 2024, and limited recent polling shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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