Scott Gillingham, the incumbent Winnipeg mayor seeking a second term in the October 2026 municipal election, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing amid a crowded field of registered challengers including Johnny Calderon, Umar Hayat, Joshua Pagdato, Michael Vogiatzakis, Mazher Alam, Noah Redden, Christopher Clacio, and others. A June 2026 Probe Research poll indicated substantial voter dissatisfaction, with only 19 percent favoring his re-election and 46 percent preferring a different mayor, though few respondents saw strong alternatives among the novices and repeat candidates. Recent candidate registrations have expanded the ballot without producing a clear frontrunner to consolidate opposition, reinforcing Gillingham's advantage through incumbency and name recognition ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Scott Gillingham 75%
Umar Hayat 18%
Joshua Pagdato 17%
Christopher Clacio 9.0%

Scott Gillingham
75%

Umar Hayat
18%

Joshua Pagdato
17%

Christopher Clacio
19%

Johnny Calderon
8%

Michael Vogiatzakis
25%

Mazher Alam
5%

Noah Redden
5%

Zachary Uminski
3%

Don Woodstock
2%
Scott Gillingham 75%
Umar Hayat 18%
Joshua Pagdato 17%
Christopher Clacio 9.0%

Scott Gillingham
75%

Umar Hayat
18%

Joshua Pagdato
17%

Christopher Clacio
19%

Johnny Calderon
8%

Michael Vogiatzakis
25%

Mazher Alam
5%

Noah Redden
5%

Zachary Uminski
3%

Don Woodstock
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
市场开放时间: Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scott Gillingham, the incumbent Winnipeg mayor seeking a second term in the October 2026 municipal election, holds a commanding lead in trader pricing amid a crowded field of registered challengers including Johnny Calderon, Umar Hayat, Joshua Pagdato, Michael Vogiatzakis, Mazher Alam, Noah Redden, Christopher Clacio, and others. A June 2026 Probe Research poll indicated substantial voter dissatisfaction, with only 19 percent favoring his re-election and 46 percent preferring a different mayor, though few respondents saw strong alternatives among the novices and repeat candidates. Recent candidate registrations have expanded the ballot without producing a clear frontrunner to consolidate opposition, reinforcing Gillingham's advantage through incumbency and name recognition ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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