**Republican nominee Brian Mast, the incumbent representing Florida’s Treasure Coast district, enters the 2026 cycle with a substantial structural edge.** The seat has leaned Republican since redistricting moved Mast into it ahead of the 2022 cycle, and his most recent general-election margin exceeded 23 points. A new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld by a state court later that month preserved the district’s Republican tilt, with recent presidential voting showing roughly 57.5 percent support for the GOP. Mast faces no serious primary opposition, while Democratic fundraising trails significantly and the party’s statewide House outlook under the map projects only four competitive seats. With the August primary and November general still months away, trader consensus prices the Republican outcome near 85 percent, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, incumbency, and limited signs of Democratic momentum to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
86%
民主党
15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,665 交易量
86%
民主党
$3,353 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Brian Mast, the incumbent representing Florida’s Treasure Coast district, enters the 2026 cycle with a substantial structural edge.** The seat has leaned Republican since redistricting moved Mast into it ahead of the 2022 cycle, and his most recent general-election margin exceeded 23 points.
A new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld by a state court later that month preserved the district’s Republican tilt, with recent presidential voting showing roughly 57.5 percent support for the GOP. Mast faces no serious primary opposition, while Democratic fundraising trails significantly and the party’s statewide House outlook under the map projects only four competitive seats.
With the August primary and November general still months away, trader consensus prices the Republican outcome near 85 percent, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, incumbency, and limited signs of Democratic momentum to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$8,018结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Brian Mast, the incumbent representing Florida’s Treasure Coast district, enters the 2026 cycle with a substantial structural edge.** The seat has leaned Republican since redistricting moved Mast into it ahead of the 2022 cycle, and his most recent general-election margin exceeded 23 points.
A new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld by a state court later that month preserved the district’s Republican tilt, with recent presidential voting showing roughly 57.5 percent support for the GOP. Mast faces no serious primary opposition, while Democratic fundraising trails significantly and the party’s statewide House outlook under the map projects only four competitive seats.
With the August primary and November general still months away, trader consensus prices the Republican outcome near 85 percent, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, incumbency, and limited signs of Democratic momentum to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,018结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Brian Mast, the incumbent representing Florida’s Treasure Coast district, enters the 2026 cycle with a substantial structural edge.** The seat has leaned Republican since redistricting moved Mast into it ahead of the 2022 cycle, and his most recent general-election margin exceeded 23 points. A new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld by a state court later that month preserved the district’s Republican tilt, with recent presidential voting showing roughly 57.5 percent support for the GOP. Mast faces no serious primary opposition, while Democratic fundraising trails significantly and the party’s statewide House outlook under the map projects only four competitive seats. With the August primary and November general still months away, trader consensus prices the Republican outcome near 85 percent, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, incumbency, and limited signs of Democratic momentum to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题