Florida's 20th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent strong margins in recent cycles, supporting the 92% trader consensus for a Democratic general election winner. The April 2026 resignation of incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick amid ethics violations created an open seat ahead of August primary voting, drawing multiple Democratic contenders including Debbie Wasserman Schultz after redistricting shifted her prior district. Limited Republican recruitment and filing have left the November 3 general election uncompetitive. A major primary scandal or turnout collapse could theoretically alter the path, though historical base rates in comparable safe Democratic districts show few realistic avenues for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,746 交易量
$15,746 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
6%
$15,746 交易量
$15,746 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,392 交易量
92%
共和党
$9,354 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent strong margins in recent cycles, supporting the 92% trader consensus for a Democratic general election winner. The April 2026 resignation of incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick amid ethics violations created an open seat ahead of August primary voting, drawing multiple Democratic contenders including Debbie Wasserman Schultz after redistricting shifted her prior district. Limited Republican recruitment and filing have left the November 3 general election uncompetitive. A major primary scandal or turnout collapse could theoretically alter the path, though historical base rates in comparable safe Democratic districts show few realistic avenues for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$15,746结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent strong margins in recent cycles, supporting the 92% trader consensus for a Democratic general election winner. The April 2026 resignation of incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick amid ethics violations created an open seat ahead of August primary voting, drawing multiple Democratic contenders including Debbie Wasserman Schultz after redistricting shifted her prior district. Limited Republican recruitment and filing have left the November 3 general election uncompetitive. A major primary scandal or turnout collapse could theoretically alter the path, though historical base rates in comparable safe Democratic districts show few realistic avenues for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,746结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent strong margins in recent cycles, supporting the 92% trader consensus for a Democratic general election winner. The April 2026 resignation of incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick amid ethics violations created an open seat ahead of August primary voting, drawing multiple Democratic contenders including Debbie Wasserman Schultz after redistricting shifted her prior district. Limited Republican recruitment and filing have left the November 3 general election uncompetitive. A major primary scandal or turnout collapse could theoretically alter the path, though historical base rates in comparable safe Democratic districts show few realistic avenues for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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