Virginia's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and consistent historical performance favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw secured the nomination following the August 4 primary and faces Republican Arthur Purves in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the overwhelming trader consensus on Polymarket. This positioning stems from the district's suburban Northern Virginia demographics and limited Republican viability. Even with such a commanding lead, factors like an unforeseen national political shift, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high turnout swings could still influence the final outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,096 交易量
$28,096 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$28,096 交易量
$28,096 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,500 交易量
96%
共和党
$11,596 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and consistent historical performance favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw secured the nomination following the August 4 primary and faces Republican Arthur Purves in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the overwhelming trader consensus on Polymarket. This positioning stems from the district's suburban Northern Virginia demographics and limited Republican viability. Even with such a commanding lead, factors like an unforeseen national political shift, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high turnout swings could still influence the final outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$28,096结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and consistent historical performance favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw secured the nomination following the August 4 primary and faces Republican Arthur Purves in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the overwhelming trader consensus on Polymarket. This positioning stems from the district's suburban Northern Virginia demographics and limited Republican viability. Even with such a commanding lead, factors like an unforeseen national political shift, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high turnout swings could still influence the final outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,096结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and consistent historical performance favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat James Walkinshaw secured the nomination following the August 4 primary and faces Republican Arthur Purves in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with the overwhelming trader consensus on Polymarket. This positioning stems from the district's suburban Northern Virginia demographics and limited Republican viability. Even with such a commanding lead, factors like an unforeseen national political shift, candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high turnout swings could still influence the final outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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