Democratic incumbent Suhas Subramanyam holds a structural edge in Virginia's 10th District, a Northern Virginia seat covering Loudoun County and surrounding suburbs that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. This positioning drives the Democratic Party's 61% trader consensus, while the Republican primary field of four candidates—Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, Anthony Suttles, and Sam Wong—remains fragmented ahead of the August 4 contest, limiting that party's implied probability to 14.5%. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major polling shifts or redistricting changes reported in the past month, the market reflects the incumbent's fundraising lead and the district's baseline partisan makeup rather than any late-breaking developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
15%
民主党
61%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$267 交易量
15%
民主党
$313 交易量
61%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Suhas Subramanyam holds a structural edge in Virginia's 10th District, a Northern Virginia seat covering Loudoun County and surrounding suburbs that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. This positioning drives the Democratic Party's 61% trader consensus, while the Republican primary field of four candidates—Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, Anthony Suttles, and Sam Wong—remains fragmented ahead of the August 4 contest, limiting that party's implied probability to 14.5%. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major polling shifts or redistricting changes reported in the past month, the market reflects the incumbent's fundraising lead and the district's baseline partisan makeup rather than any late-breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$580结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Suhas Subramanyam holds a structural edge in Virginia's 10th District, a Northern Virginia seat covering Loudoun County and surrounding suburbs that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. This positioning drives the Democratic Party's 61% trader consensus, while the Republican primary field of four candidates—Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, Anthony Suttles, and Sam Wong—remains fragmented ahead of the August 4 contest, limiting that party's implied probability to 14.5%. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major polling shifts or redistricting changes reported in the past month, the market reflects the incumbent's fundraising lead and the district's baseline partisan makeup rather than any late-breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$580结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Suhas Subramanyam holds a structural edge in Virginia's 10th District, a Northern Virginia seat covering Loudoun County and surrounding suburbs that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party. This positioning drives the Democratic Party's 61% trader consensus, while the Republican primary field of four candidates—Dave Beckwith, Julie Perry, Anthony Suttles, and Sam Wong—remains fragmented ahead of the August 4 contest, limiting that party's implied probability to 14.5%. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major polling shifts or redistricting changes reported in the past month, the market reflects the incumbent's fundraising lead and the district's baseline partisan makeup rather than any late-breaking developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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