Republican incumbent Pat Harrigan seeks a second term in North Carolina's 10th congressional district after securing his party's nomination with a strong primary performance. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage and was held by the GOP with 57.5 percent in 2024. Democratic nominee Ashley Bell advanced from her March primary in a district that includes Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, and Yadkin counties plus parts of Forsyth. Trader consensus reflected in the current probabilities accounts for the broader 2026 midterm environment, where the out-party typically gains ground, while the district's structural lean and Harrigan's incumbency provide the primary factors supporting the Republican edge ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
49%
民主党
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,211 交易量
49%
民主党
$2,589 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Pat Harrigan seeks a second term in North Carolina's 10th congressional district after securing his party's nomination with a strong primary performance. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage and was held by the GOP with 57.5 percent in 2024. Democratic nominee Ashley Bell advanced from her March primary in a district that includes Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, and Yadkin counties plus parts of Forsyth. Trader consensus reflected in the current probabilities accounts for the broader 2026 midterm environment, where the out-party typically gains ground, while the district's structural lean and Harrigan's incumbency provide the primary factors supporting the Republican edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$4,800结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Pat Harrigan seeks a second term in North Carolina's 10th congressional district after securing his party's nomination with a strong primary performance. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage and was held by the GOP with 57.5 percent in 2024. Democratic nominee Ashley Bell advanced from her March primary in a district that includes Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, and Yadkin counties plus parts of Forsyth. Trader consensus reflected in the current probabilities accounts for the broader 2026 midterm environment, where the out-party typically gains ground, while the district's structural lean and Harrigan's incumbency provide the primary factors supporting the Republican edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,800结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Pat Harrigan seeks a second term in North Carolina's 10th congressional district after securing his party's nomination with a strong primary performance. The seat carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage and was held by the GOP with 57.5 percent in 2024. Democratic nominee Ashley Bell advanced from her March primary in a district that includes Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, and Yadkin counties plus parts of Forsyth. Trader consensus reflected in the current probabilities accounts for the broader 2026 midterm environment, where the out-party typically gains ground, while the district's structural lean and Harrigan's incumbency provide the primary factors supporting the Republican edge ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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