Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 10th congressional district with a clear majority of votes, facing Republican challengers in the November general election. The district's voter registration favors Democrats by a wide margin, and nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Traders' consensus on a Democratic victory reflects the incumbent's established position, the district's partisan composition, and the absence of competitive primary dynamics that might signal vulnerability. A late national political shift, significant scandal, or unusually strong Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,454 交易量
$18,454 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$18,454 交易量
$18,454 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,750 交易量
95%
共和党
$6,705 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 10th congressional district with a clear majority of votes, facing Republican challengers in the November general election. The district's voter registration favors Democrats by a wide margin, and nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Traders' consensus on a Democratic victory reflects the incumbent's established position, the district's partisan composition, and the absence of competitive primary dynamics that might signal vulnerability. A late national political shift, significant scandal, or unusually strong Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$18,454结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 10th congressional district with a clear majority of votes, facing Republican challengers in the November general election. The district's voter registration favors Democrats by a wide margin, and nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Traders' consensus on a Democratic victory reflects the incumbent's established position, the district's partisan composition, and the absence of competitive primary dynamics that might signal vulnerability. A late national political shift, significant scandal, or unusually strong Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,454结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 10th congressional district with a clear majority of votes, facing Republican challengers in the November general election. The district's voter registration favors Democrats by a wide margin, and nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Traders' consensus on a Democratic victory reflects the incumbent's established position, the district's partisan composition, and the absence of competitive primary dynamics that might signal vulnerability. A late national political shift, significant scandal, or unusually strong Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit the likelihood of an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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