Jacqui Irwin, the Democratic state assemblymember, advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the open CA-26 seat with roughly 41 percent, ahead of Republican Sam Gallucci at about 22 percent, reflecting the district's longstanding Democratic tilt and the retirement of incumbent Julia Brownley. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's partisan voting index and California's broader midterm environment. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding lead because structural advantages in registration, fundraising, and voter composition have historically produced wide margins in similar districts. A Republican upset would require an unusually large swing in turnout or late developments that overcome these baseline factors before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,455 交易量
$29,455 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$29,455 交易量
$29,455 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$15,836 交易量
94%
共和党
$13,619 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin, the Democratic state assemblymember, advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the open CA-26 seat with roughly 41 percent, ahead of Republican Sam Gallucci at about 22 percent, reflecting the district's longstanding Democratic tilt and the retirement of incumbent Julia Brownley. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's partisan voting index and California's broader midterm environment. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding lead because structural advantages in registration, fundraising, and voter composition have historically produced wide margins in similar districts. A Republican upset would require an unusually large swing in turnout or late developments that overcome these baseline factors before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$29,455结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin, the Democratic state assemblymember, advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the open CA-26 seat with roughly 41 percent, ahead of Republican Sam Gallucci at about 22 percent, reflecting the district's longstanding Democratic tilt and the retirement of incumbent Julia Brownley. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's partisan voting index and California's broader midterm environment. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding lead because structural advantages in registration, fundraising, and voter composition have historically produced wide margins in similar districts. A Republican upset would require an unusually large swing in turnout or late developments that overcome these baseline factors before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,455结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jacqui Irwin, the Democratic state assemblymember, advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the open CA-26 seat with roughly 41 percent, ahead of Republican Sam Gallucci at about 22 percent, reflecting the district's longstanding Democratic tilt and the retirement of incumbent Julia Brownley. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's partisan voting index and California's broader midterm environment. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding lead because structural advantages in registration, fundraising, and voter composition have historically produced wide margins in similar districts. A Republican upset would require an unusually large swing in turnout or late developments that overcome these baseline factors before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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