California’s 29th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2 primary produced Democratic nominee and incumbent Luz Maria Rivas, who outperformed challengers Angélica María Dueñas and Republican Rudy Melendez. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter registration and historical results. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 88.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantage and absence of competitive developments that could alter the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,171 交易量
$17,171 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
89%
共和党
6%
$17,171 交易量
$17,171 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,338 交易量
89%
共和党
$6,833 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 29th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2 primary produced Democratic nominee and incumbent Luz Maria Rivas, who outperformed challengers Angélica María Dueñas and Republican Rudy Melendez. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter registration and historical results. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 88.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantage and absence of competitive developments that could alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$17,171结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 29th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2 primary produced Democratic nominee and incumbent Luz Maria Rivas, who outperformed challengers Angélica María Dueñas and Republican Rudy Melendez. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter registration and historical results. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 88.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantage and absence of competitive developments that could alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,171结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 29th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. The June 2 primary produced Democratic nominee and incumbent Luz Maria Rivas, who outperformed challengers Angélica María Dueñas and Republican Rudy Melendez. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s voter registration and historical results. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 88.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantage and absence of competitive developments that could alter the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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