Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to the new map enacted in May 2026, which analysts project will produce a 24–4 Republican advantage statewide. Incumbent Carlos Giménez, who won 64.6% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and benefits from a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+10. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. One March 2026 poll showed Giménez ahead of Democrat Hector Mujica by six points, though Mujica and other Democratic primary contenders have highlighted working-class and Hispanic voter concerns. Primaries occur August 18 and the general election November 3, with no major developments since redistricting litigation was resolved in favor of the enacted lines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,043 交易量
$10,043 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
$10,043 交易量
$10,043 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,305 交易量
90%
民主党
$7,738 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to the new map enacted in May 2026, which analysts project will produce a 24–4 Republican advantage statewide. Incumbent Carlos Giménez, who won 64.6% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and benefits from a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+10. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. One March 2026 poll showed Giménez ahead of Democrat Hector Mujica by six points, though Mujica and other Democratic primary contenders have highlighted working-class and Hispanic voter concerns. Primaries occur August 18 and the general election November 3, with no major developments since redistricting litigation was resolved in favor of the enacted lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$10,043结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to the new map enacted in May 2026, which analysts project will produce a 24–4 Republican advantage statewide. Incumbent Carlos Giménez, who won 64.6% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and benefits from a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+10. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. One March 2026 poll showed Giménez ahead of Democrat Hector Mujica by six points, though Mujica and other Democratic primary contenders have highlighted working-class and Hispanic voter concerns. Primaries occur August 18 and the general election November 3, with no major developments since redistricting litigation was resolved in favor of the enacted lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,043结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to the new map enacted in May 2026, which analysts project will produce a 24–4 Republican advantage statewide. Incumbent Carlos Giménez, who won 64.6% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition and benefits from a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+10. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. One March 2026 poll showed Giménez ahead of Democrat Hector Mujica by six points, though Mujica and other Democratic primary contenders have highlighted working-class and Hispanic voter concerns. Primaries occur August 18 and the general election November 3, with no major developments since redistricting litigation was resolved in favor of the enacted lines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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