Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its composition in Miami suburbs, Homestead, and the Keys, plus incumbent Carlos Giménez's consistent reelection margins, including 64.6% in 2024. Statewide redistricting enacted in May 2026 and upheld by courts strengthened GOP-leaning lines across Florida's 28 House seats, projecting a 24–4 split. With the Republican primary set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, limited Democratic opposition and fundraising advantages have reinforced trader consensus around an 89.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,043 交易量
$10,043 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
$10,043 交易量
$10,043 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,305 交易量
90%
民主党
$7,738 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its composition in Miami suburbs, Homestead, and the Keys, plus incumbent Carlos Giménez's consistent reelection margins, including 64.6% in 2024. Statewide redistricting enacted in May 2026 and upheld by courts strengthened GOP-leaning lines across Florida's 28 House seats, projecting a 24–4 split. With the Republican primary set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, limited Democratic opposition and fundraising advantages have reinforced trader consensus around an 89.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$10,043结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its composition in Miami suburbs, Homestead, and the Keys, plus incumbent Carlos Giménez's consistent reelection margins, including 64.6% in 2024. Statewide redistricting enacted in May 2026 and upheld by courts strengthened GOP-leaning lines across Florida's 28 House seats, projecting a 24–4 split. With the Republican primary set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, limited Democratic opposition and fundraising advantages have reinforced trader consensus around an 89.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,043结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican nominee due to its composition in Miami suburbs, Homestead, and the Keys, plus incumbent Carlos Giménez's consistent reelection margins, including 64.6% in 2024. Statewide redistricting enacted in May 2026 and upheld by courts strengthened GOP-leaning lines across Florida's 28 House seats, projecting a 24–4 split. With the Republican primary set for August 18 and the general election on November 3, limited Democratic opposition and fundraising advantages have reinforced trader consensus around an 89.5% implied probability for the Republican outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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