Incumbent Republican Carlos Gimenez faces Democrat Phil Ehr in Florida's 28th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with the race rated Solid Republican by analysts. The district's boundaries, drawn under the latest redistricting map, contribute to a strong Republican tilt in voter registration and historical voting patterns across Miami-Dade and Monroe counties. Gimenez has secured consistent reelection margins and maintains advantages in fundraising and primary positioning, as his Republican nomination faces no opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors along with limited Democratic infrastructure in the seat. A shift in odds would require a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, unusually high Democratic turnout, or broader national political realignment before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,088 交易量
$42,088 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$42,088 交易量
$42,088 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$19,943 交易量
94%
民主党
$22,144 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Gimenez faces Democrat Phil Ehr in Florida's 28th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with the race rated Solid Republican by analysts. The district's boundaries, drawn under the latest redistricting map, contribute to a strong Republican tilt in voter registration and historical voting patterns across Miami-Dade and Monroe counties. Gimenez has secured consistent reelection margins and maintains advantages in fundraising and primary positioning, as his Republican nomination faces no opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors along with limited Democratic infrastructure in the seat. A shift in odds would require a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, unusually high Democratic turnout, or broader national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$42,088结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Gimenez faces Democrat Phil Ehr in Florida's 28th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with the race rated Solid Republican by analysts. The district's boundaries, drawn under the latest redistricting map, contribute to a strong Republican tilt in voter registration and historical voting patterns across Miami-Dade and Monroe counties. Gimenez has secured consistent reelection margins and maintains advantages in fundraising and primary positioning, as his Republican nomination faces no opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors along with limited Democratic infrastructure in the seat. A shift in odds would require a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, unusually high Democratic turnout, or broader national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,088结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Gimenez faces Democrat Phil Ehr in Florida's 28th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with the race rated Solid Republican by analysts. The district's boundaries, drawn under the latest redistricting map, contribute to a strong Republican tilt in voter registration and historical voting patterns across Miami-Dade and Monroe counties. Gimenez has secured consistent reelection margins and maintains advantages in fundraising and primary positioning, as his Republican nomination faces no opposition. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors along with limited Democratic infrastructure in the seat. A shift in odds would require a late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, unusually high Democratic turnout, or broader national political realignment before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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