Florida's 28th congressional district remains strongly positioned for a Republican hold in the 2026 House election, with the party's nominee favored due to the seat's partisan lean and recent redistricting. The new congressional map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld for this cycle despite legal challenges, contributes to an expected statewide 24-4 Republican advantage. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won with over 64% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition on August 18 while Democrats advance nominees including Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns that align with the current trader consensus. No major developments have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,043 交易量
$10,043 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
$10,043 交易量
$10,043 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,305 交易量
90%
民主党
$7,738 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district remains strongly positioned for a Republican hold in the 2026 House election, with the party's nominee favored due to the seat's partisan lean and recent redistricting. The new congressional map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld for this cycle despite legal challenges, contributes to an expected statewide 24-4 Republican advantage. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won with over 64% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition on August 18 while Democrats advance nominees including Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns that align with the current trader consensus. No major developments have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$10,043结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district remains strongly positioned for a Republican hold in the 2026 House election, with the party's nominee favored due to the seat's partisan lean and recent redistricting. The new congressional map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld for this cycle despite legal challenges, contributes to an expected statewide 24-4 Republican advantage. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won with over 64% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition on August 18 while Democrats advance nominees including Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns that align with the current trader consensus. No major developments have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,043结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 28th congressional district remains strongly positioned for a Republican hold in the 2026 House election, with the party's nominee favored due to the seat's partisan lean and recent redistricting. The new congressional map, signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 and upheld for this cycle despite legal challenges, contributes to an expected statewide 24-4 Republican advantage. Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez, who won with over 64% in 2024, faces limited primary opposition on August 18 while Democrats advance nominees including Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns that align with the current trader consensus. No major developments have altered this outlook in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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