The Nayarit gubernatorial race for the June 2027 election remains fluid, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field inside the dominant Morena-PT-PVEM alliance that holds roughly 50% aggregate preference in recent surveys. Héctor Santana García leads internal Morena polling in multiple measurements, ahead of Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, Pavel Jarero Velázquez, and others, though high undecided shares and the absence of finalized nominees keep implied probabilities compressed across contenders. Opposition parties including PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano trail significantly and have yet to consolidate strong standard-bearers. Recent state-level polling and the incumbent administration’s September 2026 report on economic growth and security trends have not materially shifted positioning. Completion of the Morena coalition’s internal selection process, formal party tickets, or clearer statewide surveys could produce separation among the listed aspirants.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Héctor Santana García 29.3%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 24.8%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 13.5%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 10.3%
$30,826 交易量
$30,826 交易量
Héctor Santana García
29%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
25%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
13%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
10%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
5%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
2%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Nadia Ramírez López
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Héctor Santana García 29.3%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 24.8%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 13.5%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 10.3%
$30,826 交易量
$30,826 交易量
Héctor Santana García
29%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
25%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
13%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
10%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
5%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
2%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Nadia Ramírez López
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The Nayarit gubernatorial race for the June 2027 election remains fluid, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field inside the dominant Morena-PT-PVEM alliance that holds roughly 50% aggregate preference in recent surveys. Héctor Santana García leads internal Morena polling in multiple measurements, ahead of Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, Pavel Jarero Velázquez, and others, though high undecided shares and the absence of finalized nominees keep implied probabilities compressed across contenders. Opposition parties including PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano trail significantly and have yet to consolidate strong standard-bearers. Recent state-level polling and the incumbent administration’s September 2026 report on economic growth and security trends have not materially shifted positioning. Completion of the Morena coalition’s internal selection process, formal party tickets, or clearer statewide surveys could produce separation among the listed aspirants.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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