Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23 to disqualify the United Arab List (Ra’am) from the October 27 Knesset elections on petitions alleging denial of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state and links to groups supporting armed struggle. The 18-5 decision followed similar rulings against the Joint List and individual candidates, with petitions filed by Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and victims’ groups. However, the attorney general opposed the Ra’am ban, citing insufficient evidence, and Israeli Supreme Court precedent shows that Central Elections Committee disqualifications of Arab parties are routinely overturned on appeal. Hearings are scheduled for the coming week, and traders view final participation as the probable outcome given this established judicial pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
10% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-27
是
10% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-27
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23 to disqualify the United Arab List (Ra’am) from the October 27 Knesset elections on petitions alleging denial of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state and links to groups supporting armed struggle. The 18-5 decision followed similar rulings against the Joint List and individual candidates, with petitions filed by Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and victims’ groups. However, the attorney general opposed the Ra’am ban, citing insufficient evidence, and Israeli Supreme Court precedent shows that Central Elections Committee disqualifications of Arab parties are routinely overturned on appeal. Hearings are scheduled for the coming week, and traders view final participation as the probable outcome given this established judicial pattern.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ETElections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23 to disqualify the United Arab List (Ra’am) from the October 27 Knesset elections on petitions alleging denial of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state and links to groups supporting armed struggle. The 18-5 decision followed similar rulings against the Joint List and individual candidates, with petitions filed by Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and victims’ groups. However, the attorney general opposed the Ra’am ban, citing insufficient evidence, and Israeli Supreme Court precedent shows that Central Elections Committee disqualifications of Arab parties are routinely overturned on appeal. Hearings are scheduled for the coming week, and traders view final participation as the probable outcome given this established judicial pattern.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ra'am is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ra'am from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: Ra'am’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; Ra'am being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for Ra'am’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ra'am is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by Ra'am to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of Ra'am will not qualify, provided Ra'am’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ra'am, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and Ra'am; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ETIsrael’s Central Elections Committee voted on September 23 to disqualify the United Arab List (Ra’am) from the October 27 Knesset elections on petitions alleging denial of Israel as a Jewish and democratic state and links to groups supporting armed struggle. The 18-5 decision followed similar rulings against the Joint List and individual candidates, with petitions filed by Likud, Otzma Yehudit, and victims’ groups. However, the attorney general opposed the Ra’am ban, citing insufficient evidence, and Israeli Supreme Court precedent shows that Central Elections Committee disqualifications of Arab parties are routinely overturned on appeal. Hearings are scheduled for the coming week, and traders view final participation as the probable outcome given this established judicial pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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