The Israeli party The Democrats, a left-leaning Zionist list led by Yair Golan, faces no active disqualification proceedings ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with candidate lists submitted, polling averages projecting roughly nine seats, and full participation in campaign activities. Israeli law permits Central Elections Committee or court bans primarily for parties denying the state's Jewish and democratic character or supporting armed struggle against it—criteria that have not been credibly applied to this list, unlike targeted challenges against certain Arab factions. Traders price the "No" outcome near 97 percent because the party's platform and operations align with longstanding precedents for eligible lists, reinforced by ongoing court rulings on unrelated election logistics such as voter data apps. A successful last-minute petition or unexpected Supreme Court intervention remains the principal, though low-probability, pathway that could still shift resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
3% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-27
是
3% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-27
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Democrats is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents The Democrats from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: The Democrats’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; The Democrats being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for The Democrats’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if The Democrats is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by The Democrats to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of The Democrats will not qualify, provided The Democrats’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, The Democrats, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and The Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Israeli party The Democrats, a left-leaning Zionist list led by Yair Golan, faces no active disqualification proceedings ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with candidate lists submitted, polling averages projecting roughly nine seats, and full participation in campaign activities. Israeli law permits Central Elections Committee or court bans primarily for parties denying the state's Jewish and democratic character or supporting armed struggle against it—criteria that have not been credibly applied to this list, unlike targeted challenges against certain Arab factions. Traders price the "No" outcome near 97 percent because the party's platform and operations align with longstanding precedents for eligible lists, reinforced by ongoing court rulings on unrelated election logistics such as voter data apps. A successful last-minute petition or unexpected Supreme Court intervention remains the principal, though low-probability, pathway that could still shift resolution.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Democrats is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents The Democrats from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: The Democrats’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; The Democrats being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for The Democrats’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if The Democrats is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by The Democrats to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of The Democrats will not qualify, provided The Democrats’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, The Democrats, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and The Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Democrats is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents The Democrats from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: The Democrats’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; The Democrats being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for The Democrats’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if The Democrats is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by The Democrats to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of The Democrats will not qualify, provided The Democrats’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, The Democrats, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and The Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
交易量
$85结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 4:09 PM ETElections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Democrats is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents The Democrats from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: The Democrats’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; The Democrats being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for The Democrats’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if The Democrats is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by The Democrats to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of The Democrats will not qualify, provided The Democrats’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, The Democrats, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and The Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Israeli party The Democrats, a left-leaning Zionist list led by Yair Golan, faces no active disqualification proceedings ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with candidate lists submitted, polling averages projecting roughly nine seats, and full participation in campaign activities. Israeli law permits Central Elections Committee or court bans primarily for parties denying the state's Jewish and democratic character or supporting armed struggle against it—criteria that have not been credibly applied to this list, unlike targeted challenges against certain Arab factions. Traders price the "No" outcome near 97 percent because the party's platform and operations align with longstanding precedents for eligible lists, reinforced by ongoing court rulings on unrelated election logistics such as voter data apps. A successful last-minute petition or unexpected Supreme Court intervention remains the principal, though low-probability, pathway that could still shift resolution.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Democrats is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents The Democrats from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: The Democrats’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; The Democrats being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for The Democrats’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if The Democrats is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by The Democrats to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of The Democrats will not qualify, provided The Democrats’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, The Democrats, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and The Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Democrats is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents The Democrats from contesting the 2026 Knesset election as a candidates’ list. This includes, but is not limited to: The Democrats’s candidates’ list being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to contest the election; The Democrats being forcibly dissolved or deregistered; or an official determination that votes cast for The Democrats’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated.
A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if The Democrats is otherwise reinstated and permitted to contest the election, this market will resolve to "No".
A decision by The Democrats to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual candidates or officials of The Democrats will not qualify, provided The Democrats’s list remains eligible to contest the election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, The Democrats, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government and The Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 4:09 PM ETThe Israeli party The Democrats, a left-leaning Zionist list led by Yair Golan, faces no active disqualification proceedings ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with candidate lists submitted, polling averages projecting roughly nine seats, and full participation in campaign activities. Israeli law permits Central Elections Committee or court bans primarily for parties denying the state's Jewish and democratic character or supporting armed struggle against it—criteria that have not been credibly applied to this list, unlike targeted challenges against certain Arab factions. Traders price the "No" outcome near 97 percent because the party's platform and operations align with longstanding precedents for eligible lists, reinforced by ongoing court rulings on unrelated election logistics such as voter data apps. A successful last-minute petition or unexpected Supreme Court intervention remains the principal, though low-probability, pathway that could still shift resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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