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icon for 保加利亚总统选举首轮胜利者

保加利亚总统选举首轮胜利者

icon for 保加利亚总统选举首轮胜利者

保加利亚总统选举首轮胜利者

伊利亚娜·约托娃 80%

安德烈·吉乌罗夫 6.0%

瓦西尔·特尔齐耶夫 6%

阿塔纳斯·阿塔纳索夫 6%

Polymarket
最新

伊利亚娜·约托娃 80%

安德烈·吉乌罗夫 6.0%

瓦西尔·特尔齐耶夫 6%

阿塔纳斯·阿塔纳索夫 6%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 伊利亚娜·约托娃

伊利亚娜·约托娃

$244 交易量

80%

icon for 安德烈·吉乌罗夫

安德烈·吉乌罗夫

$97 交易量

6%

icon for 瓦西尔·特尔齐耶夫

瓦西尔·特尔齐耶夫

$44 交易量

6%

icon for 阿塔纳斯·阿塔纳索夫

阿塔纳斯·阿塔纳索夫

$44 交易量

6%

icon for 科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪诺夫

科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪诺夫

$44 交易量

5%

icon for 罗森·热利亚兹科夫

罗森·热利亚兹科夫

$44 交易量

4%

icon for 娜塔莉娅·基谢洛娃

娜塔莉娅·基谢洛娃

$44 交易量

4%

icon for 德利扬·佩夫斯基

德利扬·佩夫斯基

$26 交易量

4%

icon for 布拉戈米尔·科策夫

布拉戈米尔·科策夫

$44 交易量

4%

icon for 亚纳基·斯托伊洛夫

亚纳基·斯托伊洛夫

$44 交易量

4%

icon for 罗森·普列夫内利耶夫

罗森·普列夫内利耶夫

$44 交易量

4%

icon for 尼科莱·登科夫

尼科莱·登科夫

$44 交易量

3%

icon for 博伊科·鲍里索夫

博伊科·鲍里索夫

$44 交易量

3%

icon for 克鲁姆·扎尔科夫

克鲁姆·扎尔科夫

$44 交易量

3%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).**Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in the first-round winner market at 78.5% as the incumbent president seeking a full term in Bulgaria’s October 25, 2026 election.** She benefits from unified backing by the Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP-OL) and allied groups including Progressive Bulgaria, plus over 9,000 supporting signatures submitted during registration that closed on September 22. Recent Central Election Commission actions, including the September 23 ballot-number draw assigning her ticket number 25, have formalized her position without altering momentum. Andrey Gyurov, the primary challenger at 11.3% and backed by PP-DB, trails as a former caretaker prime minister but lacks comparable institutional support. Lower probabilities for other registered candidates reflect the crowded field of 27 pairs and limited polling visibility for non-incumbents. Trader consensus aligns with Iotova’s structural advantages in a contest where the top two advance to a potential runoff.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$854
结束日期
2026-10-25
市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).**Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in the first-round winner market at 78.5% as the incumbent president seeking a full term in Bulgaria’s October 25, 2026 election.** She benefits from unified backing by the Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP-OL) and allied groups including Progressive Bulgaria, plus over 9,000 supporting signatures submitted during registration that closed on September 22. Recent Central Election Commission actions, including the September 23 ballot-number draw assigning her ticket number 25, have formalized her position without altering momentum. Andrey Gyurov, the primary challenger at 11.3% and backed by PP-DB, trails as a former caretaker prime minister but lacks comparable institutional support. Lower probabilities for other registered candidates reflect the crowded field of 27 pairs and limited polling visibility for non-incumbents. Trader consensus aligns with Iotova’s structural advantages in a contest where the top two advance to a potential runoff.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$854
结束日期
2026-10-25
市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

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常见问题

"保加利亚总统选举首轮胜利者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 14 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"伊利亚娜·约托娃",概率为 94%,其次是"安德烈·吉乌罗夫",概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 94¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"保加利亚总统选举首轮胜利者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 23, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"保加利亚总统选举首轮胜利者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 14 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"保加利亚总统选举首轮胜利者"的当前领先者是"伊利亚娜·约托娃",概率为 94%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 94%。紧随其后的结果是"安德烈·吉乌罗夫",概率为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"保加利亚总统选举首轮胜利者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。