The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Florida's 27th congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voting index, the presence of three-term incumbent María Elvira Salazar, and consistent forecaster ratings of Likely Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Salazar's 2024 reelection margin exceeded 20 points, and the district's South Florida composition has historically favored GOP candidates in general elections. Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring multiple challengers, which could delay unified opposition until after Labor Day. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with the structural Republican advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,206 交易量
$13,206 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
30%
$13,206 交易量
$13,206 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,676 交易量
70%
民主党
$7,529 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Florida's 27th congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voting index, the presence of three-term incumbent María Elvira Salazar, and consistent forecaster ratings of Likely Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Salazar's 2024 reelection margin exceeded 20 points, and the district's South Florida composition has historically favored GOP candidates in general elections. Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring multiple challengers, which could delay unified opposition until after Labor Day. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with the structural Republican advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$13,206结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Florida's 27th congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voting index, the presence of three-term incumbent María Elvira Salazar, and consistent forecaster ratings of Likely Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Salazar's 2024 reelection margin exceeded 20 points, and the district's South Florida composition has historically favored GOP candidates in general elections. Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring multiple challengers, which could delay unified opposition until after Labor Day. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with the structural Republican advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,206结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Florida's 27th congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voting index, the presence of three-term incumbent María Elvira Salazar, and consistent forecaster ratings of Likely Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Salazar's 2024 reelection margin exceeded 20 points, and the district's South Florida composition has historically favored GOP candidates in general elections. Democrats face a crowded August 18 primary featuring multiple challengers, which could delay unified opposition until after Labor Day. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline outlook in recent weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with the structural Republican advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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