Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar seeks reelection in Florida’s 27th congressional district, where recent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as Likely Republican following a shift from Solid Republican amid evolving South Florida dynamics. The August 18 primaries feature multiple Democratic contenders including Robin Peguero, Eliott Rodriguez, and Lev Parnas, while Salazar faces limited Republican opposition. Historical margins, including her 2024 victory by over 20 points, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and fundraising advantages, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Upcoming primary outcomes and any late general-election polling shifts remain key variables before the November 3 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,206 交易量
$13,206 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
30%
$13,206 交易量
$13,206 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,676 交易量
70%
民主党
$7,529 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar seeks reelection in Florida’s 27th congressional district, where recent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as Likely Republican following a shift from Solid Republican amid evolving South Florida dynamics. The August 18 primaries feature multiple Democratic contenders including Robin Peguero, Eliott Rodriguez, and Lev Parnas, while Salazar faces limited Republican opposition. Historical margins, including her 2024 victory by over 20 points, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and fundraising advantages, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Upcoming primary outcomes and any late general-election polling shifts remain key variables before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$13,206结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar seeks reelection in Florida’s 27th congressional district, where recent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as Likely Republican following a shift from Solid Republican amid evolving South Florida dynamics. The August 18 primaries feature multiple Democratic contenders including Robin Peguero, Eliott Rodriguez, and Lev Parnas, while Salazar faces limited Republican opposition. Historical margins, including her 2024 victory by over 20 points, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and fundraising advantages, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Upcoming primary outcomes and any late general-election polling shifts remain key variables before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,206结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar seeks reelection in Florida’s 27th congressional district, where recent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as Likely Republican following a shift from Solid Republican amid evolving South Florida dynamics. The August 18 primaries feature multiple Democratic contenders including Robin Peguero, Eliott Rodriguez, and Lev Parnas, while Salazar faces limited Republican opposition. Historical margins, including her 2024 victory by over 20 points, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and fundraising advantages, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Upcoming primary outcomes and any late general-election polling shifts remain key variables before the November 3 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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