Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar secured her party's nomination with 81 percent in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Eliott Rodriguez, who prevailed in a narrow Democratic primary. The Miami-Dade-based district, which is heavily Hispanic, has trended Republican in recent cycles, supporting Salazar's strong reelection margins in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting her established name recognition, fundraising edge of roughly $2 million cash on hand versus Rodriguez's lower totals, and the structural advantages of incumbency. A late-August internal poll commissioned by Rodriguez's campaign showed the candidates essentially tied, yet broader polling and historical patterns have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward the incumbent. The general election is scheduled for November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,406 交易量
$25,406 交易量
玛丽亚·埃尔维拉·萨拉查 (共和党)
82%
Eliott Rodriguez(民主党)
18%
$25,406 交易量
$25,406 交易量
玛丽亚·埃尔维拉·萨拉查 (共和党)
82%
Eliott Rodriguez(民主党)
18%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar secured her party's nomination with 81 percent in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Eliott Rodriguez, who prevailed in a narrow Democratic primary. The Miami-Dade-based district, which is heavily Hispanic, has trended Republican in recent cycles, supporting Salazar's strong reelection margins in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting her established name recognition, fundraising edge of roughly $2 million cash on hand versus Rodriguez's lower totals, and the structural advantages of incumbency. A late-August internal poll commissioned by Rodriguez's campaign showed the candidates essentially tied, yet broader polling and historical patterns have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward the incumbent. The general election is scheduled for November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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