Republican Maria Elvira Salazar, the incumbent since 2021, holds a strong position in Florida's 27th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, with primaries set for August 18. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing her 2024 margin above 60 percent, fundraising edge, and a new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 that is projected to produce a 24–4 Republican advantage statewide. A court upheld the map for this cycle. March 2026 polling showed Salazar leading Democratic primary contenders such as Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez by modest margins in head-to-head matchups, though South Florida's shifting demographics have kept the contest from moving into Safe Republican territory. The Republican primary also features challengers, but Salazar remains the clear frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling factors while acknowledging residual uncertainty before the August primaries finalize the ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,209 交易量
$13,209 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
26%
$13,209 交易量
$13,209 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,676 交易量
70%
民主党
$7,533 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Maria Elvira Salazar, the incumbent since 2021, holds a strong position in Florida's 27th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, with primaries set for August 18. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing her 2024 margin above 60 percent, fundraising edge, and a new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 that is projected to produce a 24–4 Republican advantage statewide. A court upheld the map for this cycle. March 2026 polling showed Salazar leading Democratic primary contenders such as Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez by modest margins in head-to-head matchups, though South Florida's shifting demographics have kept the contest from moving into Safe Republican territory. The Republican primary also features challengers, but Salazar remains the clear frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling factors while acknowledging residual uncertainty before the August primaries finalize the ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$13,209结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Maria Elvira Salazar, the incumbent since 2021, holds a strong position in Florida's 27th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, with primaries set for August 18. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing her 2024 margin above 60 percent, fundraising edge, and a new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 that is projected to produce a 24–4 Republican advantage statewide. A court upheld the map for this cycle. March 2026 polling showed Salazar leading Democratic primary contenders such as Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez by modest margins in head-to-head matchups, though South Florida's shifting demographics have kept the contest from moving into Safe Republican territory. The Republican primary also features challengers, but Salazar remains the clear frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling factors while acknowledging residual uncertainty before the August primaries finalize the ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,209结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Maria Elvira Salazar, the incumbent since 2021, holds a strong position in Florida's 27th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, with primaries set for August 18. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing her 2024 margin above 60 percent, fundraising edge, and a new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026 that is projected to produce a 24–4 Republican advantage statewide. A court upheld the map for this cycle. March 2026 polling showed Salazar leading Democratic primary contenders such as Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez by modest margins in head-to-head matchups, though South Florida's shifting demographics have kept the contest from moving into Safe Republican territory. The Republican primary also features challengers, but Salazar remains the clear frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects these structural and polling factors while acknowledging residual uncertainty before the August primaries finalize the ballot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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