Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar benefits from the district's R+6 partisan voting index and Florida's post-2020 redistricting map, which produced a statewide 24-4 Republican advantage in House seats. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing Salazar's established fundraising edge and the party's recent strength in South Florida following the 2024 election results. Democratic primary contenders on the August 18 ballot have yet to consolidate support or demonstrate broad appeal capable of overcoming these structural factors. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 70 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, reflecting the competitive but still favorable environment for the incumbent party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,206 交易量
$13,206 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
30%
$13,206 交易量
$13,206 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,676 交易量
70%
民主党
$7,529 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar benefits from the district's R+6 partisan voting index and Florida's post-2020 redistricting map, which produced a statewide 24-4 Republican advantage in House seats. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing Salazar's established fundraising edge and the party's recent strength in South Florida following the 2024 election results. Democratic primary contenders on the August 18 ballot have yet to consolidate support or demonstrate broad appeal capable of overcoming these structural factors. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 70 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, reflecting the competitive but still favorable environment for the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$13,206结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar benefits from the district's R+6 partisan voting index and Florida's post-2020 redistricting map, which produced a statewide 24-4 Republican advantage in House seats. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing Salazar's established fundraising edge and the party's recent strength in South Florida following the 2024 election results. Democratic primary contenders on the August 18 ballot have yet to consolidate support or demonstrate broad appeal capable of overcoming these structural factors. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 70 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, reflecting the competitive but still favorable environment for the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,206结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar benefits from the district's R+6 partisan voting index and Florida's post-2020 redistricting map, which produced a statewide 24-4 Republican advantage in House seats. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing Salazar's established fundraising edge and the party's recent strength in South Florida following the 2024 election results. Democratic primary contenders on the August 18 ballot have yet to consolidate support or demonstrate broad appeal capable of overcoming these structural factors. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 70 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, reflecting the competitive but still favorable environment for the incumbent party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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