Incumbent Democrat Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Mitch Clemmons in California's 41st congressional district. The seat was redrawn under Proposition 50, shifting its boundaries into a D+9 to D+16 district centered in eastern Los Angeles County with a Democratic voter registration advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election on November 3 as solid or safe Democratic. Sánchez's established incumbency, superior fundraising, and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,008 交易量
$17,008 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$17,008 交易量
$17,008 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$8,593 交易量
95%
共和党
$8,415 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Mitch Clemmons in California's 41st congressional district. The seat was redrawn under Proposition 50, shifting its boundaries into a D+9 to D+16 district centered in eastern Los Angeles County with a Democratic voter registration advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election on November 3 as solid or safe Democratic. Sánchez's established incumbency, superior fundraising, and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$17,008结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Mitch Clemmons in California's 41st congressional district. The seat was redrawn under Proposition 50, shifting its boundaries into a D+9 to D+16 district centered in eastern Los Angeles County with a Democratic voter registration advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election on November 3 as solid or safe Democratic. Sánchez's established incumbency, superior fundraising, and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,008结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Mitch Clemmons in California's 41st congressional district. The seat was redrawn under Proposition 50, shifting its boundaries into a D+9 to D+16 district centered in eastern Los Angeles County with a Democratic voter registration advantage. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election on November 3 as solid or safe Democratic. Sánchez's established incumbency, superior fundraising, and the district's partisan composition underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. A late national Republican surge, major scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make an upset improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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