Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano secured the nomination for California's 39th congressional district in the June 2, 2026, primary with 56 percent of the vote against the Republican challenger. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+7 and receives solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent cycles where the seat has favored Democrats by double-digit margins. Statewide polling shows Democratic House candidates leading Republicans by 29 points among likely voters. These structural and historical factors underpin the strong trader consensus for a Democratic hold in the November general election, though an unusually strong Republican performance or shifts in turnout could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,298 交易量
$37,298 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$37,298 交易量
$37,298 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$26,643 交易量
94%
共和党
$10,655 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano secured the nomination for California's 39th congressional district in the June 2, 2026, primary with 56 percent of the vote against the Republican challenger. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+7 and receives solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent cycles where the seat has favored Democrats by double-digit margins. Statewide polling shows Democratic House candidates leading Republicans by 29 points among likely voters. These structural and historical factors underpin the strong trader consensus for a Democratic hold in the November general election, though an unusually strong Republican performance or shifts in turnout could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$37,298结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano secured the nomination for California's 39th congressional district in the June 2, 2026, primary with 56 percent of the vote against the Republican challenger. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+7 and receives solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent cycles where the seat has favored Democrats by double-digit margins. Statewide polling shows Democratic House candidates leading Republicans by 29 points among likely voters. These structural and historical factors underpin the strong trader consensus for a Democratic hold in the November general election, though an unusually strong Republican performance or shifts in turnout could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,298结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano secured the nomination for California's 39th congressional district in the June 2, 2026, primary with 56 percent of the vote against the Republican challenger. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+7 and receives solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent cycles where the seat has favored Democrats by double-digit margins. Statewide polling shows Democratic House candidates leading Republicans by 29 points among likely voters. These structural and historical factors underpin the strong trader consensus for a Democratic hold in the November general election, though an unusually strong Republican performance or shifts in turnout could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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