Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, establishing a structural advantage that shapes trader expectations for the November 2026 general election. The seat opened when incumbent Kevin Hern opted to pursue an open U.S. Senate nomination, triggering a crowded Republican primary featuring more than ten candidates on the June 16 ballot and endorsements such as President Trump’s support for one entrant. Independent ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed but faces the challenge of competing in a district where Republicans have held every seat since 2020. These factors underpin the current market pricing, with the Republican nominee viewed as the clear favorite absent any unforeseen primary outcome or late-cycle shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,853 交易量
$11,853 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$11,853 交易量
$11,853 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,313 交易量
87%
民主党
$5,540 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, establishing a structural advantage that shapes trader expectations for the November 2026 general election. The seat opened when incumbent Kevin Hern opted to pursue an open U.S. Senate nomination, triggering a crowded Republican primary featuring more than ten candidates on the June 16 ballot and endorsements such as President Trump’s support for one entrant. Independent ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed but faces the challenge of competing in a district where Republicans have held every seat since 2020. These factors underpin the current market pricing, with the Republican nominee viewed as the clear favorite absent any unforeseen primary outcome or late-cycle shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$11,853结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, establishing a structural advantage that shapes trader expectations for the November 2026 general election. The seat opened when incumbent Kevin Hern opted to pursue an open U.S. Senate nomination, triggering a crowded Republican primary featuring more than ten candidates on the June 16 ballot and endorsements such as President Trump’s support for one entrant. Independent ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed but faces the challenge of competing in a district where Republicans have held every seat since 2020. These factors underpin the current market pricing, with the Republican nominee viewed as the clear favorite absent any unforeseen primary outcome or late-cycle shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,853结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, establishing a structural advantage that shapes trader expectations for the November 2026 general election. The seat opened when incumbent Kevin Hern opted to pursue an open U.S. Senate nomination, triggering a crowded Republican primary featuring more than ten candidates on the June 16 ballot and endorsements such as President Trump’s support for one entrant. Independent ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed but faces the challenge of competing in a district where Republicans have held every seat since 2020. These factors underpin the current market pricing, with the Republican nominee viewed as the clear favorite absent any unforeseen primary outcome or late-cycle shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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