Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, centered on the Tulsa metro area, features a solidly Republican partisan lean with a Cook PVI above R+10 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created this vacancy, drawing more than ten Republican primary candidates ahead of the June 16 vote. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, positioning him to face the eventual GOP nominee in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history and structural advantages for the Republican nominee once selected. The current trader consensus mirrors this established partisan baseline, with limited scope for a general-election upset absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,853 交易量
$11,853 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$11,853 交易量
$11,853 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,313 交易量
87%
民主党
$5,540 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, centered on the Tulsa metro area, features a solidly Republican partisan lean with a Cook PVI above R+10 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created this vacancy, drawing more than ten Republican primary candidates ahead of the June 16 vote. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, positioning him to face the eventual GOP nominee in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history and structural advantages for the Republican nominee once selected. The current trader consensus mirrors this established partisan baseline, with limited scope for a general-election upset absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$11,853结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, centered on the Tulsa metro area, features a solidly Republican partisan lean with a Cook PVI above R+10 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created this vacancy, drawing more than ten Republican primary candidates ahead of the June 16 vote. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, positioning him to face the eventual GOP nominee in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history and structural advantages for the Republican nominee once selected. The current trader consensus mirrors this established partisan baseline, with limited scope for a general-election upset absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,853结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, centered on the Tulsa metro area, features a solidly Republican partisan lean with a Cook PVI above R+10 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created this vacancy, drawing more than ten Republican primary candidates ahead of the June 16 vote. Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, positioning him to face the eventual GOP nominee in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting history and structural advantages for the Republican nominee once selected. The current trader consensus mirrors this established partisan baseline, with limited scope for a general-election upset absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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