Oklahoma's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat centered on the Tulsa area, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index reflecting a consistent GOP advantage and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Incumbent Kevin Hern's decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created an open race, drawing a large Republican primary field of more than 10 candidates on the June 16 ballot. The Democratic primary was canceled, advancing John Croisant unopposed to the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure or polling gains in this deep-red district. A Republican primary runoff on August 25 is possible if no candidate exceeds 50 percent today, but the eventual GOP nominee faces limited general-election risk barring major shifts in turnout or late developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,853 交易量
$11,853 交易量
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$11,853 交易量
$11,853 交易量
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat centered on the Tulsa area, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index reflecting a consistent GOP advantage and historical margins exceeding 20 points. Incumbent Kevin Hern's decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created an open race, drawing a large Republican primary field of more than 10 candidates on the June 16 ballot. The Democratic primary was canceled, advancing John Croisant unopposed to the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure or polling gains in this deep-red district. A Republican primary runoff on August 25 is possible if no candidate exceeds 50 percent today, but the eventual GOP nominee faces limited general-election risk barring major shifts in turnout or late developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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