Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, 2026, advancing to the November general election against Republican Charles Hoelter in California's 15th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent past results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Mullin's established incumbency and the district's voter composition in San Mateo County and surrounding areas limit Republican competitiveness. A commanding primary margin reinforces expectations of continuity absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political realignment that could alter turnout or candidate viability before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$116,421 交易量
$116,421 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$116,421 交易量
$116,421 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$92,679 交易量
96%
共和党
$23,742 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, 2026, advancing to the November general election against Republican Charles Hoelter in California's 15th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent past results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Mullin's established incumbency and the district's voter composition in San Mateo County and surrounding areas limit Republican competitiveness. A commanding primary margin reinforces expectations of continuity absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political realignment that could alter turnout or candidate viability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$116,421结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, 2026, advancing to the November general election against Republican Charles Hoelter in California's 15th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent past results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Mullin's established incumbency and the district's voter composition in San Mateo County and surrounding areas limit Republican competitiveness. A commanding primary margin reinforces expectations of continuity absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political realignment that could alter turnout or candidate viability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$116,421结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, 2026, advancing to the November general election against Republican Charles Hoelter in California's 15th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent past results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Mullin's established incumbency and the district's voter composition in San Mateo County and surrounding areas limit Republican competitiveness. A commanding primary margin reinforces expectations of continuity absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political realignment that could alter turnout or candidate viability before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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