California's 14th congressional district, a solidly Democratic Bay Area seat left open by Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation, held its June 2 primary under the state's top-two system. State Senator Aisha Wahab led with strong party backing, advancing alongside another Democrat over the leading Republican. This outcome locked in a general election matchup between two Democrats for both the regular November 2026 contest and related special election processes. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's consistent partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure, and historical patterns of Democratic dominance in the area, though late shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics could still influence final margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,319 交易量
$29,319 交易量
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$29,319 交易量
$29,319 交易量
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th congressional district, a solidly Democratic Bay Area seat left open by Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation, held its June 2 primary under the state's top-two system. State Senator Aisha Wahab led with strong party backing, advancing alongside another Democrat over the leading Republican. This outcome locked in a general election matchup between two Democrats for both the regular November 2026 contest and related special election processes. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's consistent partisan lean, limited Republican infrastructure, and historical patterns of Democratic dominance in the area, though late shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics could still influence final margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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