California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent performance in recent cycles, supporting the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the special election to fill the seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. State Sen. Aisha Wahab's advancement from the June 2 primary, alongside other Democratic contenders, reinforces expectations ahead of the June 16 special primary and subsequent August general. The district's Alameda County base and limited Republican candidate viability contribute to the lopsided positioning. A realistic shift would require an unusually low Democratic turnout or an unforeseen scandal affecting leading candidates before the August 18 special general or November regular election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,319 交易量
$29,319 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$29,319 交易量
$29,319 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,958 交易量
95%
共和党
$18,361 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent performance in recent cycles, supporting the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the special election to fill the seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. State Sen. Aisha Wahab's advancement from the June 2 primary, alongside other Democratic contenders, reinforces expectations ahead of the June 16 special primary and subsequent August general. The district's Alameda County base and limited Republican candidate viability contribute to the lopsided positioning. A realistic shift would require an unusually low Democratic turnout or an unforeseen scandal affecting leading candidates before the August 18 special general or November regular election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$29,319结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent performance in recent cycles, supporting the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the special election to fill the seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. State Sen. Aisha Wahab's advancement from the June 2 primary, alongside other Democratic contenders, reinforces expectations ahead of the June 16 special primary and subsequent August general. The district's Alameda County base and limited Republican candidate viability contribute to the lopsided positioning. A realistic shift would require an unusually low Democratic turnout or an unforeseen scandal affecting leading candidates before the August 18 special general or November regular election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,319结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent performance in recent cycles, supporting the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the special election to fill the seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. State Sen. Aisha Wahab's advancement from the June 2 primary, alongside other Democratic contenders, reinforces expectations ahead of the June 16 special primary and subsequent August general. The district's Alameda County base and limited Republican candidate viability contribute to the lopsided positioning. A realistic shift would require an unusually low Democratic turnout or an unforeseen scandal affecting leading candidates before the August 18 special general or November regular election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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