The deep-blue composition of California's 14th congressional district, covering portions of the eastern San Francisco Bay Area with Democratic voter registration near 50 percent, underpins the commanding Democratic advantage in the special and regular election cycles. Incumbent Eric Swalwell's April resignation triggered an open-seat contest where state Senator Aisha Wahab secured the California Democratic Party endorsement and led the June 2 primary with roughly 38.5 percent, positioning her for the general election against limited Republican opposition. Traders price in these structural factors and historical patterns for the seat, while acknowledging that only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or sharp turnout shift could realistically alter the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,319 交易量
$29,319 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$29,319 交易量
$29,319 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,958 交易量
95%
共和党
$18,361 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The deep-blue composition of California's 14th congressional district, covering portions of the eastern San Francisco Bay Area with Democratic voter registration near 50 percent, underpins the commanding Democratic advantage in the special and regular election cycles. Incumbent Eric Swalwell's April resignation triggered an open-seat contest where state Senator Aisha Wahab secured the California Democratic Party endorsement and led the June 2 primary with roughly 38.5 percent, positioning her for the general election against limited Republican opposition. Traders price in these structural factors and historical patterns for the seat, while acknowledging that only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or sharp turnout shift could realistically alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$29,319结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The deep-blue composition of California's 14th congressional district, covering portions of the eastern San Francisco Bay Area with Democratic voter registration near 50 percent, underpins the commanding Democratic advantage in the special and regular election cycles. Incumbent Eric Swalwell's April resignation triggered an open-seat contest where state Senator Aisha Wahab secured the California Democratic Party endorsement and led the June 2 primary with roughly 38.5 percent, positioning her for the general election against limited Republican opposition. Traders price in these structural factors and historical patterns for the seat, while acknowledging that only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or sharp turnout shift could realistically alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,319结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The deep-blue composition of California's 14th congressional district, covering portions of the eastern San Francisco Bay Area with Democratic voter registration near 50 percent, underpins the commanding Democratic advantage in the special and regular election cycles. Incumbent Eric Swalwell's April resignation triggered an open-seat contest where state Senator Aisha Wahab secured the California Democratic Party endorsement and led the June 2 primary with roughly 38.5 percent, positioning her for the general election against limited Republican opposition. Traders price in these structural factors and historical patterns for the seat, while acknowledging that only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or sharp turnout shift could realistically alter the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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