Rosa DeLauro’s long incumbency since 1991 and the Connecticut 3rd district’s consistent Democratic performance anchor trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. The seat carries a strong partisan lean reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and DeLauro’s 58.9 percent victory in 2024. Recent primary filings show the incumbent facing limited intraparty challenges ahead of the August 2026 primary, while Republican contenders remain underfunded and face structural headwinds in a district centered on New Haven. Forecasters cite the absence of competitive polling shifts or major scandals as sustaining the lopsided market pricing. A significant health event for the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican environment, or an unanticipated primary defeat could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党
94%
共和党
7%
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rosa DeLauro’s long incumbency since 1991 and the Connecticut 3rd district’s consistent Democratic performance anchor trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. The seat carries a strong partisan lean reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and DeLauro’s 58.9 percent victory in 2024. Recent primary filings show the incumbent facing limited intraparty challenges ahead of the August 2026 primary, while Republican contenders remain underfunded and face structural headwinds in a district centered on New Haven. Forecasters cite the absence of competitive polling shifts or major scandals as sustaining the lopsided market pricing. A significant health event for the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican environment, or an unanticipated primary defeat could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题