Connecticut's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Longtime incumbent Rosa DeLauro, first elected in 1990, won re-election in 2024 with nearly 59% and faces primary challengers ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest, while Republicans field candidates in their parallel primary. The district's south-central geography, including New Haven, and voting patterns from recent presidential cycles underpin trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong nominee or major shifts in turnout among core Democratic blocs, neither of which has materialized in filings or early indicators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,494 交易量
94%
共和党
$5,534 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Longtime incumbent Rosa DeLauro, first elected in 1990, won re-election in 2024 with nearly 59% and faces primary challengers ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest, while Republicans field candidates in their parallel primary. The district's south-central geography, including New Haven, and voting patterns from recent presidential cycles underpin trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong nominee or major shifts in turnout among core Democratic blocs, neither of which has materialized in filings or early indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$9,028结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Longtime incumbent Rosa DeLauro, first elected in 1990, won re-election in 2024 with nearly 59% and faces primary challengers ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest, while Republicans field candidates in their parallel primary. The district's south-central geography, including New Haven, and voting patterns from recent presidential cycles underpin trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong nominee or major shifts in turnout among core Democratic blocs, neither of which has materialized in filings or early indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,028结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Longtime incumbent Rosa DeLauro, first elected in 1990, won re-election in 2024 with nearly 59% and faces primary challengers ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest, while Republicans field candidates in their parallel primary. The district's south-central geography, including New Haven, and voting patterns from recent presidential cycles underpin trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A Republican upset would require an unusually strong nominee or major shifts in turnout among core Democratic blocs, neither of which has materialized in filings or early indicators.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题