The district's longstanding Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and 63% margin for the incumbent in 2024, anchors trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no Republican candidates positioned to mount a serious challenge in this Hartford-centered area. While the August 11 Democratic primary features a contested race between incumbent John Larson and challengers including Luke Bronin, the outcome of that contest has minimal bearing on the general election result given the district's partisan composition. A major scandal, significant national Republican surge, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still shift probabilities before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,404 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,329 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's longstanding Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and 63% margin for the incumbent in 2024, anchors trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no Republican candidates positioned to mount a serious challenge in this Hartford-centered area. While the August 11 Democratic primary features a contested race between incumbent John Larson and challengers including Luke Bronin, the outcome of that contest has minimal bearing on the general election result given the district's partisan composition. A major scandal, significant national Republican surge, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still shift probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,733结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's longstanding Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and 63% margin for the incumbent in 2024, anchors trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no Republican candidates positioned to mount a serious challenge in this Hartford-centered area. While the August 11 Democratic primary features a contested race between incumbent John Larson and challengers including Luke Bronin, the outcome of that contest has minimal bearing on the general election result given the district's partisan composition. A major scandal, significant national Republican surge, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still shift probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,733结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's longstanding Democratic advantage, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and 63% margin for the incumbent in 2024, anchors trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November 2026 general election. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no Republican candidates positioned to mount a serious challenge in this Hartford-centered area. While the August 11 Democratic primary features a contested race between incumbent John Larson and challengers including Luke Bronin, the outcome of that contest has minimal bearing on the general election result given the district's partisan composition. A major scandal, significant national Republican surge, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still shift probabilities before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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