Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney’s long record of reelection in Connecticut’s 2nd district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+4, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Courtney has consistently outperformed the national Democratic baseline in past cycles while maintaining robust fundraising and local name recognition. Republican primary contenders remain comparatively underfunded and face structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican since 2006. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen primary upset, a significant national political shift before November, or an unanticipated personal or legal issue involving the incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,257 交易量
93%
共和党
$2,782 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney’s long record of reelection in Connecticut’s 2nd district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+4, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Courtney has consistently outperformed the national Democratic baseline in past cycles while maintaining robust fundraising and local name recognition. Republican primary contenders remain comparatively underfunded and face structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican since 2006. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen primary upset, a significant national political shift before November, or an unanticipated personal or legal issue involving the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,039结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney’s long record of reelection in Connecticut’s 2nd district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+4, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Courtney has consistently outperformed the national Democratic baseline in past cycles while maintaining robust fundraising and local name recognition. Republican primary contenders remain comparatively underfunded and face structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican since 2006. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen primary upset, a significant national political shift before November, or an unanticipated personal or legal issue involving the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,039结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney’s long record of reelection in Connecticut’s 2nd district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+4, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Courtney has consistently outperformed the national Democratic baseline in past cycles while maintaining robust fundraising and local name recognition. Republican primary contenders remain comparatively underfunded and face structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Republican since 2006. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen primary upset, a significant national political shift before November, or an unanticipated personal or legal issue involving the incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题