Connecticut’s 4th congressional district maintains a D+13 Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2008, won 61 percent in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contests, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban New York metro composition and entrenched party registration advantages. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset, major candidate-specific controversy, or an unusually strong national Republican environment capable of overcoming the structural baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,995 交易量
$33,995 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$33,995 交易量
$33,995 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,042 交易量
94%
共和党
$19,953 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 4th congressional district maintains a D+13 Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2008, won 61 percent in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contests, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban New York metro composition and entrenched party registration advantages. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset, major candidate-specific controversy, or an unusually strong national Republican environment capable of overcoming the structural baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$33,995结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 4th congressional district maintains a D+13 Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2008, won 61 percent in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contests, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban New York metro composition and entrenched party registration advantages. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset, major candidate-specific controversy, or an unusually strong national Republican environment capable of overcoming the structural baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,995结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut’s 4th congressional district maintains a D+13 Partisan Voting Index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2008, won 61 percent in 2024 and faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026, contests, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban New York metro composition and entrenched party registration advantages. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary upset, major candidate-specific controversy, or an unusually strong national Republican environment capable of overcoming the structural baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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