Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by Himes's multiple reelections including 61% in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary competition and modest fundraising trails further solidify the positioning. A Democratic primary upset or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make significant shifts unlikely before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,454 交易量
$36,454 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$36,454 交易量
$36,454 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$15,485 交易量
94%
共和党
$20,969 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by Himes's multiple reelections including 61% in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary competition and modest fundraising trails further solidify the positioning. A Democratic primary upset or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make significant shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$36,454结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by Himes's multiple reelections including 61% in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary competition and modest fundraising trails further solidify the positioning. A Democratic primary upset or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make significant shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,454结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding position in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, reflected in the market's 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by Himes's multiple reelections including 61% in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November general election. Limited Republican primary competition and modest fundraising trails further solidify the positioning. A Democratic primary upset or unusually strong national Republican performance could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors and historical voting patterns make significant shifts unlikely before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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