Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican Michael Goldstein in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed or via primary on August 11. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent D+13 partisan voting indices and Himes’s 61% victory in 2024, underpins the 95.6% implied probability for Democrats. Himes has maintained substantial fundraising leads and faces no primary opposition, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A commanding trader consensus aligns with the district’s voting patterns across Bridgeport, Stamford, and Fairfield County suburbs. Low-probability shifts could occur from a late national Republican wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though historical margins and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$47,340 交易量
$47,340 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$47,340 交易量
$47,340 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$21,773 交易量
96%
共和党
$25,567 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican Michael Goldstein in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed or via primary on August 11. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent D+13 partisan voting indices and Himes’s 61% victory in 2024, underpins the 95.6% implied probability for Democrats. Himes has maintained substantial fundraising leads and faces no primary opposition, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A commanding trader consensus aligns with the district’s voting patterns across Bridgeport, Stamford, and Fairfield County suburbs. Low-probability shifts could occur from a late national Republican wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though historical margins and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$47,340结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican Michael Goldstein in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed or via primary on August 11. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent D+13 partisan voting indices and Himes’s 61% victory in 2024, underpins the 95.6% implied probability for Democrats. Himes has maintained substantial fundraising leads and faces no primary opposition, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A commanding trader consensus aligns with the district’s voting patterns across Bridgeport, Stamford, and Fairfield County suburbs. Low-probability shifts could occur from a late national Republican wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though historical margins and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$47,340结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican Michael Goldstein in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed or via primary on August 11. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent D+13 partisan voting indices and Himes’s 61% victory in 2024, underpins the 95.6% implied probability for Democrats. Himes has maintained substantial fundraising leads and faces no primary opposition, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A commanding trader consensus aligns with the district’s voting patterns across Bridgeport, Stamford, and Fairfield County suburbs. Low-probability shifts could occur from a late national Republican wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though historical margins and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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