Connecticut’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with incumbent Jim Himes seeking renomination in the August 11 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index, based on recent presidential results, and its consistent Democratic performance since 2006 underpin the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A Democratic primary challenge from Joseph Perez-Caputo has not shifted the broader outlook. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or a national political environment that markedly improves Republican prospects in suburban and coastal Connecticut districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,995 交易量
$33,995 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$33,995 交易量
$33,995 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,042 交易量
94%
共和党
$19,953 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with incumbent Jim Himes seeking renomination in the August 11 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index, based on recent presidential results, and its consistent Democratic performance since 2006 underpin the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A Democratic primary challenge from Joseph Perez-Caputo has not shifted the broader outlook. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or a national political environment that markedly improves Republican prospects in suburban and coastal Connecticut districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$33,995结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with incumbent Jim Himes seeking renomination in the August 11 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index, based on recent presidential results, and its consistent Democratic performance since 2006 underpin the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A Democratic primary challenge from Joseph Perez-Caputo has not shifted the broader outlook. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or a national political environment that markedly improves Republican prospects in suburban and coastal Connecticut districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,995结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with incumbent Jim Himes seeking renomination in the August 11 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s D+13 Partisan Voter Index, based on recent presidential results, and its consistent Democratic performance since 2006 underpin the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A Democratic primary challenge from Joseph Perez-Caputo has not shifted the broader outlook. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or a national political environment that markedly improves Republican prospects in suburban and coastal Connecticut districts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题