Democratic incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and her established incumbency. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced Jacobs alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera after she secured a clear majority of votes, underscoring limited intra-party competition and broad support within the district's voter base. Factors reinforcing trader consensus include historical voting patterns, registration advantages favoring Democrats, and the absence of recent developments that would shift momentum toward the challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national political wave favoring Republicans, a significant late-breaking event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts, though the district's structural profile makes such outcomes improbable without major catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,852 交易量
$31,852 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$31,852 交易量
$31,852 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,598 交易量
95%
共和党
$14,253 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and her established incumbency. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced Jacobs alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera after she secured a clear majority of votes, underscoring limited intra-party competition and broad support within the district's voter base. Factors reinforcing trader consensus include historical voting patterns, registration advantages favoring Democrats, and the absence of recent developments that would shift momentum toward the challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national political wave favoring Republicans, a significant late-breaking event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts, though the district's structural profile makes such outcomes improbable without major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$31,852结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and her established incumbency. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced Jacobs alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera after she secured a clear majority of votes, underscoring limited intra-party competition and broad support within the district's voter base. Factors reinforcing trader consensus include historical voting patterns, registration advantages favoring Democrats, and the absence of recent developments that would shift momentum toward the challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national political wave favoring Republicans, a significant late-breaking event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts, though the district's structural profile makes such outcomes improbable without major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,852结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November general election, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic lean and her established incumbency. The June 2, 2026, top-two primary advanced Jacobs alongside Republican Ricardo Cabrera after she secured a clear majority of votes, underscoring limited intra-party competition and broad support within the district's voter base. Factors reinforcing trader consensus include historical voting patterns, registration advantages favoring Democrats, and the absence of recent developments that would shift momentum toward the challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national political wave favoring Republicans, a significant late-breaking event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts, though the district's structural profile makes such outcomes improbable without major catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题