Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican Steve Cohen in the November general election for California's 50th congressional district. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the seat toward stronger Democratic performance by incorporating additional Democratic-leaning areas while reducing Republican strongholds, aligning with the district's voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects Peters' established incumbency advantage and the district's partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,763 交易量
$37,763 交易量
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$37,763 交易量
$37,763 交易量
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican Steve Cohen in the November general election for California's 50th congressional district. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the seat toward stronger Democratic performance by incorporating additional Democratic-leaning areas while reducing Republican strongholds, aligning with the district's voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party reflects Peters' established incumbency advantage and the district's partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题