California's 50th congressional district carries a D+16 partisan voter index and solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential elections and the effects of Proposition 50 redistricting that produced more favorable boundaries ahead of the 2026 cycle. Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2 primary in a district where Democratic voter registration and historical margins create a wide structural edge. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, while the 6.5% Republican share accounts for the limited path to an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, a major national political shift before November, or an unexpected primary outcome altering the general election matchup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,763 交易量
$37,763 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$37,763 交易量
$37,763 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$22,389 交易量
93%
共和党
$15,374 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 50th congressional district carries a D+16 partisan voter index and solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential elections and the effects of Proposition 50 redistricting that produced more favorable boundaries ahead of the 2026 cycle. Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2 primary in a district where Democratic voter registration and historical margins create a wide structural edge. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, while the 6.5% Republican share accounts for the limited path to an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, a major national political shift before November, or an unexpected primary outcome altering the general election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$37,763结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 50th congressional district carries a D+16 partisan voter index and solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential elections and the effects of Proposition 50 redistricting that produced more favorable boundaries ahead of the 2026 cycle. Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2 primary in a district where Democratic voter registration and historical margins create a wide structural edge. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, while the 6.5% Republican share accounts for the limited path to an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, a major national political shift before November, or an unexpected primary outcome altering the general election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,763结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 50th congressional district carries a D+16 partisan voter index and solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential elections and the effects of Proposition 50 redistricting that produced more favorable boundaries ahead of the 2026 cycle. Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2 primary in a district where Democratic voter registration and historical margins create a wide structural edge. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, while the 6.5% Republican share accounts for the limited path to an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Republican turnout, a major national political shift before November, or an unexpected primary outcome altering the general election matchup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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