Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren's decisive advance from the June 2 primary against Republican Shane Lewis has reinforced trader expectations in California's 18th congressional district. The seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings labeling it solid or safe for the party ahead of the November general election. Lofgren's consistent reelection margins and established voter base in the district underpin the current 94.7 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or major scandal to alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,239 交易量
$35,239 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
4%
$35,239 交易量
$35,239 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,690 交易量
93%
共和党
$18,548 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren's decisive advance from the June 2 primary against Republican Shane Lewis has reinforced trader expectations in California's 18th congressional district. The seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings labeling it solid or safe for the party ahead of the November general election. Lofgren's consistent reelection margins and established voter base in the district underpin the current 94.7 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or major scandal to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$35,239结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren's decisive advance from the June 2 primary against Republican Shane Lewis has reinforced trader expectations in California's 18th congressional district. The seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings labeling it solid or safe for the party ahead of the November general election. Lofgren's consistent reelection margins and established voter base in the district underpin the current 94.7 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or major scandal to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,239结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren's decisive advance from the June 2 primary against Republican Shane Lewis has reinforced trader expectations in California's 18th congressional district. The seat carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings labeling it solid or safe for the party ahead of the November general election. Lofgren's consistent reelection margins and established voter base in the district underpin the current 94.7 percent consensus for a Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawal or major scandal to alter the trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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