Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican Shane Lewis and other Democratic challengers. The district's established Democratic lean, demonstrated by Lofgren's prior general election margins and voter registration patterns concentrated in Santa Clara and surrounding counties, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus for a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Factors that could still shift the result include an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district's structural characteristics limit those possibilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,358 交易量
$35,358 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$35,358 交易量
$35,358 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,690 交易量
94%
共和党
$18,668 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican Shane Lewis and other Democratic challengers. The district's established Democratic lean, demonstrated by Lofgren's prior general election margins and voter registration patterns concentrated in Santa Clara and surrounding counties, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus for a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Factors that could still shift the result include an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district's structural characteristics limit those possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$35,358结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican Shane Lewis and other Democratic challengers. The district's established Democratic lean, demonstrated by Lofgren's prior general election margins and voter registration patterns concentrated in Santa Clara and surrounding counties, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus for a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Factors that could still shift the result include an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district's structural characteristics limit those possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,358结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 54 percent against Republican Shane Lewis and other Democratic challengers. The district's established Democratic lean, demonstrated by Lofgren's prior general election margins and voter registration patterns concentrated in Santa Clara and surrounding counties, underpins the 93 percent trader consensus for a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Factors that could still shift the result include an unforeseen national political realignment or unusually low Democratic turnout, though the district's structural characteristics limit those possibilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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