Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2 primary with a clear majority, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Shane Lewis in California's 18th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Lofgren's 64.6 percent share in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. As a safely Democratic district with established voting patterns, the race shows limited competitive pressure. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle national shifts, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major unforeseen developments affecting turnout or candidate viability before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,239 交易量
$35,239 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
4%
$35,239 交易量
$35,239 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,690 交易量
93%
共和党
$18,548 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2 primary with a clear majority, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Shane Lewis in California's 18th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Lofgren's 64.6 percent share in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. As a safely Democratic district with established voting patterns, the race shows limited competitive pressure. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle national shifts, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major unforeseen developments affecting turnout or candidate viability before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$35,239结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2 primary with a clear majority, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Shane Lewis in California's 18th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Lofgren's 64.6 percent share in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. As a safely Democratic district with established voting patterns, the race shows limited competitive pressure. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle national shifts, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major unforeseen developments affecting turnout or candidate viability before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,239结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2 primary with a clear majority, setting up a general election matchup against Republican Shane Lewis in California's 18th congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Lofgren's 64.6 percent share in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. As a safely Democratic district with established voting patterns, the race shows limited competitive pressure. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle national shifts, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major unforeseen developments affecting turnout or candidate viability before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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