Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta advanced from California's June 2, 2026, primary for the 19th congressional district with approximately 59 percent of the vote, facing Republican Peter Verbica in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic performance, including Panetta's 69 percent margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in elevated Democratic probabilities. Historical patterns in this Central Coast and Bay Area seat, combined with the absence of competitive primary challenges or major recent developments, reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Factors that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts or late-campaign events before the November 3, 2026, contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,299 交易量
$33,299 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$33,299 交易量
$33,299 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$22,316 交易量
96%
共和党
$10,983 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta advanced from California's June 2, 2026, primary for the 19th congressional district with approximately 59 percent of the vote, facing Republican Peter Verbica in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic performance, including Panetta's 69 percent margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in elevated Democratic probabilities. Historical patterns in this Central Coast and Bay Area seat, combined with the absence of competitive primary challenges or major recent developments, reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Factors that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts or late-campaign events before the November 3, 2026, contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$33,299结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta advanced from California's June 2, 2026, primary for the 19th congressional district with approximately 59 percent of the vote, facing Republican Peter Verbica in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic performance, including Panetta's 69 percent margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in elevated Democratic probabilities. Historical patterns in this Central Coast and Bay Area seat, combined with the absence of competitive primary challenges or major recent developments, reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Factors that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts or late-campaign events before the November 3, 2026, contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,299结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta advanced from California's June 2, 2026, primary for the 19th congressional district with approximately 59 percent of the vote, facing Republican Peter Verbica in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic performance, including Panetta's 69 percent margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in elevated Democratic probabilities. Historical patterns in this Central Coast and Bay Area seat, combined with the absence of competitive primary challenges or major recent developments, reinforce expectations of continued Democratic control. Factors that could narrow the gap include significant national political shifts or late-campaign events before the November 3, 2026, contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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