The heavily Democratic composition of Illinois’ 7th Congressional District continues to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement opened the seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Representative La Shawn Ford, who prevailed in a crowded field. The Republican primary yielded Chad Koppie as the general-election opponent. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s voting patterns in prior cycles. No major developments have altered the fundamentals in the past 30 days. A sustained national Republican surge or unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic nominee remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though historical precedent in this district suggests such shifts would need to be substantial to threaten the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,467 交易量
$20,467 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
1%
$20,467 交易量
$20,467 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of Illinois’ 7th Congressional District continues to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement opened the seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in state Representative La Shawn Ford, who prevailed in a crowded field. The Republican primary yielded Chad Koppie as the general-election opponent. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s voting patterns in prior cycles. No major developments have altered the fundamentals in the past 30 days. A sustained national Republican surge or unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic nominee remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though historical precedent in this district suggests such shifts would need to be substantial to threaten the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题