The heavily Democratic composition of Illinois’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Chicago’s West Side and downtown areas, has long produced lopsided results favoring Democratic nominees, with the seat delivering over 80 percent of the vote to the party in recent cycles. Danny Davis’s July 2025 retirement opened the seat, yet the March 2026 Democratic primary resolved quickly in favor of state Representative La Shawn Ford, who now faces Republican Chad Koppie and several independents in the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented turnout collapse among Democratic voters or a late-breaking development capable of shifting the district’s baseline partisan lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,467 交易量
$20,467 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
1%
$20,467 交易量
$20,467 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,949 交易量
94%
共和党
$13,517 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Illinois’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Chicago’s West Side and downtown areas, has long produced lopsided results favoring Democratic nominees, with the seat delivering over 80 percent of the vote to the party in recent cycles. Danny Davis’s July 2025 retirement opened the seat, yet the March 2026 Democratic primary resolved quickly in favor of state Representative La Shawn Ford, who now faces Republican Chad Koppie and several independents in the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented turnout collapse among Democratic voters or a late-breaking development capable of shifting the district’s baseline partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$20,467结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Illinois’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Chicago’s West Side and downtown areas, has long produced lopsided results favoring Democratic nominees, with the seat delivering over 80 percent of the vote to the party in recent cycles. Danny Davis’s July 2025 retirement opened the seat, yet the March 2026 Democratic primary resolved quickly in favor of state Representative La Shawn Ford, who now faces Republican Chad Koppie and several independents in the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented turnout collapse among Democratic voters or a late-breaking development capable of shifting the district’s baseline partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,467结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of Illinois’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Chicago’s West Side and downtown areas, has long produced lopsided results favoring Democratic nominees, with the seat delivering over 80 percent of the vote to the party in recent cycles. Danny Davis’s July 2025 retirement opened the seat, yet the March 2026 Democratic primary resolved quickly in favor of state Representative La Shawn Ford, who now faces Republican Chad Koppie and several independents in the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unprecedented turnout collapse among Democratic voters or a late-breaking development capable of shifting the district’s baseline partisan lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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