The Illinois 8th district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The open seat created by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid drew a crowded Democratic primary won in March 2026 by former Rep. Melissa Bean, who benefits from name recognition and institutional support. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces structural headwinds in the northwest suburban district. Fundraising data shows Democrats outspending Republicans by a wide margin, consistent with historical patterns in similar seats. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,799 交易量
93%
共和党
$5,132 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The open seat created by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid drew a crowded Democratic primary won in March 2026 by former Rep. Melissa Bean, who benefits from name recognition and institutional support. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces structural headwinds in the northwest suburban district. Fundraising data shows Democrats outspending Republicans by a wide margin, consistent with historical patterns in similar seats. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The open seat created by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid drew a crowded Democratic primary won in March 2026 by former Rep. Melissa Bean, who benefits from name recognition and institutional support. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces structural headwinds in the northwest suburban district. Fundraising data shows Democrats outspending Republicans by a wide margin, consistent with historical patterns in similar seats. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 8th district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. The open seat created by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid drew a crowded Democratic primary won in March 2026 by former Rep. Melissa Bean, who benefits from name recognition and institutional support. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces structural headwinds in the northwest suburban district. Fundraising data shows Democrats outspending Republicans by a wide margin, consistent with historical patterns in similar seats. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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