Melissa Bean's victory in the Democratic primary for the open IL-08 seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's Senate bid, has reinforced trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold. The suburban Chicago district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, and Bean's prior congressional experience plus name recognition provide a clear edge over Republican nominee Jennifer Davis. Cook Political Report currently rates the race Lean Democrat. With the November general election approaching, a sustained national Republican wave, significant fundraising gaps narrowing, or unexpected turnout shifts in key precincts remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,315 交易量
$20,315 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$20,315 交易量
$20,315 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,403 交易量
94%
共和党
$10,912 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean's victory in the Democratic primary for the open IL-08 seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's Senate bid, has reinforced trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold. The suburban Chicago district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, and Bean's prior congressional experience plus name recognition provide a clear edge over Republican nominee Jennifer Davis. Cook Political Report currently rates the race Lean Democrat. With the November general election approaching, a sustained national Republican wave, significant fundraising gaps narrowing, or unexpected turnout shifts in key precincts remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$20,315结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean's victory in the Democratic primary for the open IL-08 seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's Senate bid, has reinforced trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold. The suburban Chicago district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, and Bean's prior congressional experience plus name recognition provide a clear edge over Republican nominee Jennifer Davis. Cook Political Report currently rates the race Lean Democrat. With the November general election approaching, a sustained national Republican wave, significant fundraising gaps narrowing, or unexpected turnout shifts in key precincts remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,315结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean's victory in the Democratic primary for the open IL-08 seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's Senate bid, has reinforced trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold. The suburban Chicago district has favored Democrats in recent cycles, and Bean's prior congressional experience plus name recognition provide a clear edge over Republican nominee Jennifer Davis. Cook Political Report currently rates the race Lean Democrat. With the November general election approaching, a sustained national Republican wave, significant fundraising gaps narrowing, or unexpected turnout shifts in key precincts remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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