The Illinois 8th congressional district’s D+5 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, and former representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary. Race raters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban northwest Chicago makeup and structural advantages for the majority party. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces limited path-to-victory scenarios, such as an unexpected national wave or late-cycle developments, though no such shifts have materialized since the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,799 交易量
93%
共和党
$5,132 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th congressional district’s D+5 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, and former representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary. Race raters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban northwest Chicago makeup and structural advantages for the majority party. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces limited path-to-victory scenarios, such as an unexpected national wave or late-cycle developments, though no such shifts have materialized since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th congressional district’s D+5 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, and former representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary. Race raters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban northwest Chicago makeup and structural advantages for the majority party. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces limited path-to-victory scenarios, such as an unexpected national wave or late-cycle developments, though no such shifts have materialized since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 8th congressional district’s D+5 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. The seat opened after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi pursued a Senate bid, and former representative Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary. Race raters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban northwest Chicago makeup and structural advantages for the majority party. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis faces limited path-to-victory scenarios, such as an unexpected national wave or late-cycle developments, though no such shifts have materialized since the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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