The Illinois 8th Congressional District is an open seat following U.S. Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s decision to seek the Democratic Senate nomination, creating a vacancy in a northwest suburban Chicago area long rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with her prior House experience and name recognition, while Republican nominee Jennifer Davis emerged from a fragmented field. These elements have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome ahead of the November general election. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments such as a scandal or health event, or unusually high Republican turnout in this structurally Democratic-leaning district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,799 交易量
93%
共和党
$5,132 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th Congressional District is an open seat following U.S. Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s decision to seek the Democratic Senate nomination, creating a vacancy in a northwest suburban Chicago area long rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with her prior House experience and name recognition, while Republican nominee Jennifer Davis emerged from a fragmented field. These elements have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome ahead of the November general election. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments such as a scandal or health event, or unusually high Republican turnout in this structurally Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th Congressional District is an open seat following U.S. Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s decision to seek the Democratic Senate nomination, creating a vacancy in a northwest suburban Chicago area long rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with her prior House experience and name recognition, while Republican nominee Jennifer Davis emerged from a fragmented field. These elements have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome ahead of the November general election. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments such as a scandal or health event, or unusually high Republican turnout in this structurally Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 8th Congressional District is an open seat following U.S. Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s decision to seek the Democratic Senate nomination, creating a vacancy in a northwest suburban Chicago area long rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with her prior House experience and name recognition, while Republican nominee Jennifer Davis emerged from a fragmented field. These elements have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome ahead of the November general election. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments such as a scandal or health event, or unusually high Republican turnout in this structurally Democratic-leaning district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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