The IL-08 race features an open seat in a district with a Democratic lean, where recent primaries produced Melissa Bean as the Democratic nominee against Republican Jennifer Davis for the November 2026 general election. Strong Democratic fundraising advantages, including millions in outside spending, combined with the district's voting patterns and Bean's prior experience representing the area, underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Limited Republican resources and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national conditions have kept the implied probability stable since the primaries. A late-cycle scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a broader Republican wave in the midterms, or unusually high turnout in Republican-leaning precincts could narrow the margin and alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,799 交易量
93%
共和党
$5,132 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IL-08 race features an open seat in a district with a Democratic lean, where recent primaries produced Melissa Bean as the Democratic nominee against Republican Jennifer Davis for the November 2026 general election. Strong Democratic fundraising advantages, including millions in outside spending, combined with the district's voting patterns and Bean's prior experience representing the area, underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Limited Republican resources and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national conditions have kept the implied probability stable since the primaries. A late-cycle scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a broader Republican wave in the midterms, or unusually high turnout in Republican-leaning precincts could narrow the margin and alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IL-08 race features an open seat in a district with a Democratic lean, where recent primaries produced Melissa Bean as the Democratic nominee against Republican Jennifer Davis for the November 2026 general election. Strong Democratic fundraising advantages, including millions in outside spending, combined with the district's voting patterns and Bean's prior experience representing the area, underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Limited Republican resources and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national conditions have kept the implied probability stable since the primaries. A late-cycle scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a broader Republican wave in the midterms, or unusually high turnout in Republican-leaning precincts could narrow the margin and alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IL-08 race features an open seat in a district with a Democratic lean, where recent primaries produced Melissa Bean as the Democratic nominee against Republican Jennifer Davis for the November 2026 general election. Strong Democratic fundraising advantages, including millions in outside spending, combined with the district's voting patterns and Bean's prior experience representing the area, underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Limited Republican resources and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national conditions have kept the implied probability stable since the primaries. A late-cycle scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a broader Republican wave in the midterms, or unusually high turnout in Republican-leaning precincts could narrow the margin and alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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