The Illinois 8th district’s D+5 partisan voter index and status as an open Democratic seat after Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid underpin the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic nominee. Melissa Bean’s March 17 primary victory over a crowded field, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic, has reinforced expectations that the party will retain the northwest suburban Chicago seat in November. Limited Republican resources and the district’s consistent recent Democratic performance further support the current pricing. A major national Republican surge, late scandal involving Bean, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban precincts remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,799 交易量
93%
共和党
$5,132 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th district’s D+5 partisan voter index and status as an open Democratic seat after Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid underpin the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic nominee. Melissa Bean’s March 17 primary victory over a crowded field, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic, has reinforced expectations that the party will retain the northwest suburban Chicago seat in November. Limited Republican resources and the district’s consistent recent Democratic performance further support the current pricing. A major national Republican surge, late scandal involving Bean, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban precincts remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 8th district’s D+5 partisan voter index and status as an open Democratic seat after Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid underpin the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic nominee. Melissa Bean’s March 17 primary victory over a crowded field, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic, has reinforced expectations that the party will retain the northwest suburban Chicago seat in November. Limited Republican resources and the district’s consistent recent Democratic performance further support the current pricing. A major national Republican surge, late scandal involving Bean, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban precincts remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,931结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 8th district’s D+5 partisan voter index and status as an open Democratic seat after Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid underpin the strong trader consensus behind the Democratic nominee. Melissa Bean’s March 17 primary victory over a crowded field, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic, has reinforced expectations that the party will retain the northwest suburban Chicago seat in November. Limited Republican resources and the district’s consistent recent Democratic performance further support the current pricing. A major national Republican surge, late scandal involving Bean, or unusually high GOP turnout in suburban precincts remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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